OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™ - Page 3 - TigerDroppings.com

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Zipfer2022
New Orleans Saints Fan
Lakeview
Member since Nov 2011
2267 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


quote:

florida only -26 vs ULL????


My favorite line for sure. ULL has no defense at all.

Florida 56
Ulala 10






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Chef Leppard
Georgia Fan
Member since Sep 2011
8389 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


quote:

I mean DAMN. 31.


Yea that's what I thought about Stanford -28 at Colorado. But I got paid on it

If it comes back down a few points I'm on it. Chad Morris does not take his foot off ever. He's into some style points

I ain't scared






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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


quote:

They are a poor mans 2011 LSU. Badass defense shite whole offense. Except LSU rolled everyone that wasn't bama last year


Homeless






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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


Robert Raymond Deuce One Leans:

Kent State-6 @ Miami(oh): Kent State has been getting their juggernaut on. Miami-oh is better at home; I'll give them that. But I don't know if that counteracts how much better Kent State is.

Minny-3 @ Illinois: When is Vegas going to figure out how bad Illinois is?

La. Tech-20 @ Texas State: La. Tech should score 50 without breaking a sweat. Texas State shouldn't be scoring 30.

Louisville-2.5 @ Cuse: What da funk is up with this line?

Western Michigan-3 @ Buffalo: Yeah, I guess the MAC is sort of my thing. And Western Michigan is DEFINITELY the best of the directional Michigan schools. And Buffalo just isn't that good.

San Jose State-22.5 @ New Mexico State: San Jose State is simply a covering machine.

Ole Miss-3 vs. Vandy: Let's not get all carried away with Vandy beating the funk out of Kentucky.

ND-18.5 @ Boston College: Boston College won't score, and ND shouldn't have any problem scoring against BC, who is just atrocious.

Oregon-27.5 @ Cal: is this the first half spread?

Tulane-1.5 @ Memphis: Tulane was beyond unspeakably atrocious for a while there, but they have really turned a corner since getting the Griffin kid back.

FSU-13.5 @ VT: Can VT score? Like at all?


You might be alarmed at the number of road teams I'm leaning on. But notice that the home team in those games is probably atrocious. My theory is that HFA doesn't mean a damn thing when a team can't score.



This post was edited on 11/5 at 8:49 am


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GHAZI
Dallas Mavs 2011 NBA Champions
Member since Dec 2007
15242 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


FSU has not covered a spread on the road all year... but VT is so bad.







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Biff Tannen
UNLV Fan
Member since Sep 2012
2506 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


FSU will win by 21+





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Chef Leppard
Georgia Fan
Member since Sep 2011
8389 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


quote:

Louisville-2.5 @ Cuse: What da funk is up with this line?


Looking closer, an interesting matchup on paper. Syracuse did put 30 on the Trojans early in the year before they were banged up. Back and forth records against common opponents. Real similar offensive numbers. Looks like the Cards just got a few breaks

More at stake for Cuse at home.? Such a small line still makes it hard not to like Charlie Strong tho






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ChemE in the OP
LSU Fan
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
2804 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


Early bets:

Bama -13.5
Arizona St +10







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Biff Tannen
UNLV Fan
Member since Sep 2012
2506 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


quote:

Bama -13.5
Arizona St +10


very nice, haven't really liked at ASU.. but first glance it looks good






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Chef Leppard
Georgia Fan
Member since Sep 2011
8389 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


Man I have a hard time getting behind Bama on that one. Especially after such a brutal win in BR.

I just see another UF type loss for the Aggs (20-17) . Could be wrong of course






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ChemE in the OP
LSU Fan
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
2804 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


Sumlin's offense matches up terribly with Nick's 3-4. Classic sandwich game for Arizona St's opponent which will remain unnamed...





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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


I'm just a firm believer in Manziel. Dude is gonna make some plays. This is the one game of the season where I believe Bama could lose. They probably won't, but I think they could.





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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


quote:

Robert Raymond Deuce One Leans:

Kent State-6 @ Miami(oh): Kent State has been getting their juggernaut on. Miami-oh is better at home; I'll give them that. But I don't know if that counteracts how much better Kent State is.

Minny-3 @ Illinois: When is Vegas going to figure out how bad Illinois is?

La. Tech-20 @ Texas State: La. Tech should score 50 without breaking a sweat. Texas State shouldn't be scoring 30.

Louisville-2.5 @ Cuse: What da funk is up with this line?

Western Michigan-3 @ Buffalo: Yeah, I guess the MAC is sort of my thing. And Western Michigan is DEFINITELY the best of the directional Michigan schools. And Buffalo just isn't that good.

San Jose State-22.5 @ New Mexico State: San Jose State is simply a covering machine.

Ole Miss-3 vs. Vandy: Let's not get all carried away with Vandy beating the funk out of Kentucky.

ND-18.5 @ Boston College: Boston College won't score, and ND shouldn't have any problem scoring against BC, who is just atrocious.

Oregon-27.5 @ Cal: is this the first half spread?

Tulane-1.5 @ Memphis: Tulane was beyond unspeakably atrocious for a while there, but they have really turned a corner since getting the Griffin kid back.

FSU-13.5 @ VT: Can VT score? Like at all?



A couple others I"m thinking about:

UCF-12.5 @ UTEP: UCF just keeps covering for me.

Marshall-3 @ UAB: The C-USA is so bad that it's like Vegas hasn't quite figured out which teams are just kinda bad vs. which teams are atrocious. UAB is atrocious.

My favorite dogs:
Northwestern +11 @ Michigan
Penn State+7 @ Nebraska
Mizzou+3.5 @ Vols
Southern Miss+11.5 @ SMU: cripple fight






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rocket31
Toledo Fan
Member since Jan 2008
18986 posts
 Online 

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


quote:

ND-18.5 @ Boston College: Boston College won't score, and ND shouldn't have any problem scoring against BC, who is just atrocious


I do like ND here. And I do not bet on them much, but they have a strong advantage in this game as I feel I have as good of read as anyone regarding the Irish. ND had 5 players get the flu last week vs Pitt, so they should be healthy as well.

Also, for whatever reason ND is a better road team than home; they beat MSU in East Lansing at night by 17, Miami in Soldier Field by 38 and Oklahoma in Norman at night by 17.






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HoLeInOnEr05
North Carolina Fan
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
14970 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


quote:

Southern Miss+11.5 @ SMU: cripple fight



Um, no. SMU will win by 30.






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Billy Mays
Ole Miss Fan
Northshore Ole Miss Bear Club
Member since Jan 2009
16518 posts
 Online 

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


Tulane -1.5 is my favorite line so far.

I've bet against USM the last 2 weeks and won. Southern Methodist puts up a good amount of points up at home, and USM's offense is anemic on the road (and everywhere, in general).






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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


quote:

Um, no. SMU will win by 30.


Unless I'm mistaken, their only common opponent is UCF, and USM was much more competitive against UCF than was SMU.






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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


quote:

I've bet against USM the last 2 weeks and won. Southern Methodist puts up a good amount of points up at home, and USM's offense is anemic on the road (and everywhere, in general)


I give absolutely zero weight to the Houston game, as that was just the most ridiculously fluky game I've maybe ever witnessed.






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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


quote:

Tulane -1.5 is my favorite line so far.


I like it as well. I'm really liking Minny-3, though.






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Billy Mays
Ole Miss Fan
Northshore Ole Miss Bear Club
Member since Jan 2009
16518 posts
 Online 

re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™


I like MN as well, that is a true cripple fight tho so anything can happen.

My early 5:

Oregon -27.5 at Cal (Cal can't keep up)
Tulane -1.5 at Memphis (Memphis is atrocious)
SMU -10.5 vs USM (see Memphis)
USCw -10 vs. ASU (Barkley + Kiffin should be pissed and ready to pad stats)
LSU -14 vs. MSU (MSU is not good and won't be able to move the ball vs. LSU)






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