re: Crackpot ASOIAF Theories SPOILERS

So does anyone think that regardless of Jaime's birth that it's not Crackpot that Jaime joins Aegon? I think Cersei is about to resume power and be even worse and more neurotic than before, and will lack any of the subtlety that she had in the first place. The Boltons will fall near the very beginning of the novel, Dorne will declare for Aegon the second they hear of Quentyn's fate, the Vale is no way in hell going to join them, most the Freys hostages will be taken by the BwoB when they transfer them to King's Landing, the Freys in Riverrun will likely be killed off really soon (and the ones at the Twins not far behind), and the Reach will be in chaos with Euron invading them, not to mention Dany over the Narrow Sea.

I think Jaime will realize that the Lannisters are absolutely screwed sooner rather than later. Jaime won't care about his own or his siblings lives, but he does care about Tommen and knows for certain he'll be killed if one of the other kings or queens is successful in sacking King's Landing, not to mention what Cersei will do with Tommen. Jaime will see Aegon as his second chance at redemption, and seek to join his cause, under the terms that Tommen be spared and granted Casterly Rock as his seat. Aegon will agree to the terms, so long as Tommen himself surrenders, in order to make sure this sacking of King's Landing is not as horrible as the first with "Heroes not killing children."

The battle strategy's first line of action is to get the innocents out of the Red Keep, like Margeary, Mace, and Tommen, and then for the Tyrell men to open the gates of King's Landing for Aegon's army to enter almost completely unopposed. Varys will succeed at this, except for getting Tommen out who is guarded at all times by Ser Robert Strong. Jaime realizes then that he himself must go after Tommen since no one but the Lord Commander of the Kingsguard could possibly separate Tommen from UnGregor and Cersei.

As Varys is leading Jaime through the secret passages, Varys taunts Jaime about history repeating himself, and how Varys himself is the hero in this story who actually saved the baby and heir to the Kingdom, while Jaime merely taunted Ned Stark from the Iron Throne. Jaime corrects him saying he slew the Pyromancer who would light the city on fire killing them all, which Varys replies he already had it under control. Varys says that regardless of how this turns out, that Jaime will still be the most despised man in the Seven Kingdoms next to his own brother for betraying his kin and king to Aegon. Jaime will then enter the Red Keep, find Cersei on the Iron Throne with a dead Tommen in front of him, and then basically everything I said in my previous post will come to pass.


So Crackpot, or plausible?