re: Crackpot ASOIAF Theories SPOILERS

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Tyrion is a player, but he's a player that can mostly be predicted by the best players of the game. He always does the logical thing, which is why Littlefinger doesn't always do the logical thing to outwit the other players.

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But littlefinger is playing a game that he can not ever realistically win. He is like Arkansas was the past few years, dangerous enough to compete but never really a threat to win it all. At some point in time Littlefinger's game will crumble and he will be left with nothing to stand on.

While Tyrion plays the game but is good enough to allow himself a way out. He keeps his word which gains him allies but he does not give his word liberally. He guards his promises and minimizes his debts. Always making sure to keep friends at his back.

And Varys...... Well the readers are the only ones who know for a fact that Varys is even IN the game and that's what keeps him safe.

Littlefinger has been destined to fall from the start. He is the dictionary definition of "too smart for his own damn good".