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re: BCS has achieved consensus on 4-team seeded playoff.

Posted on 6/21/12 at 10:58 am to
Posted by TulaneUVA
Member since Jun 2005
25918 posts
Posted on 6/21/12 at 10:58 am to
quote:

the formula that looks good one year doesn't work as well the following year.


Then it wasn't a very good formula to begin with was it?

I don't think it should be that hard. Simplify it further then!

33% offensive/defensive stats
33% RPI
34% Coaches Poll
Done. How can you deny that this isn't objective? It should work every time! The cream of the crop WILL RISE. Fact.
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
36140 posts
Posted on 6/21/12 at 11:04 am to
quote:

the formula that looks good one year doesn't work as well the following year.



Then it wasn't a very good formula to begin with was it?


I strongly disagree. You are presuming a formula can be predictive when you are judging a bunch of different teams playing very different schedules under very different circumstances. Some teams like a 98 Tenn or 02 tOSU are solid workhorse teams that will win close games on teh basis of defense (in good conferences). Other teams like a 99 FSU, 01 Miami, or 03 USC will put up big offensive numbers against a softer schedule.

It is really not a failing of the formulas or their programmers to solve this problem IMO. It is just bad logic on the part of people who assume a formula should be able to do this.
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