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re: BCS has achieved consensus on 4-team seeded playoff.
Posted on 6/21/12 at 10:38 am to TulaneUVA
Posted on 6/21/12 at 10:38 am to TulaneUVA
quote:
25% Look at 5 previous years results/strength (this part of the formula basically says "a team that was really good 2 years ago is probably still pretty good this year...or at least has the essential cogs to be talented such as a coach, overall talent level, etc")
That's horrible - recently we've seen new coaches arrive at programs and transform them into national championship caliber teams within 3-4 years. The difference from year to year can be enormous - in the last 10-15 odd years we've seen several examples of teams that were mediocre the year before win a national championship the following year (auburn 09-10, lsu 02-03, tOSU 01-02, OU 99-00)
I'd rather let the Hilton and Kardashian sisters pick teams on the basis of "hotness" than that... because if it is a joke I'd rather it be understood to be a joke than pretend legitimacy
1
Posted on 6/21/12 at 10:52 am to molsusports
Worst case scenario, it's 25% of one formula. If there were 10 formulas averaged, the resulting impact is nothing.
Now onto the basis, you're right. There are definitely cases of swings from one year to another. In all of those cases you cited (which are only a few), the prior teams were always in strong conferences and were top 40 or so finishers. Not exactly top 5 but still strong. This part of the formula prevents huge swings such as Tulane coming in at 12-0 or Wake Forest winning the ACC. You don't just have a sub-90's ranking program one year and turn into a national title condender the next.
Now onto the basis, you're right. There are definitely cases of swings from one year to another. In all of those cases you cited (which are only a few), the prior teams were always in strong conferences and were top 40 or so finishers. Not exactly top 5 but still strong. This part of the formula prevents huge swings such as Tulane coming in at 12-0 or Wake Forest winning the ACC. You don't just have a sub-90's ranking program one year and turn into a national title condender the next.
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