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Message
re: Watch me turn $1500 in to $6500 (currently + $4520)
Posted on 5/11/12 at 2:22 pm to Rohan2Reed
Posted on 5/11/12 at 2:22 pm to Rohan2Reed
Thanks for the kind words.
Here's a 2nd round series bet:
Here's a 2nd round series bet:
This post was edited on 5/11/12 at 2:32 pm
1
Posted on 5/11/12 at 2:26 pm to MinnesotaTiger
Serious question - does anybody think I should hedge my 2 outstanding series bets that are dependent on Lakers winning? Nuggets moneyline is at +240 - was honestly hoping it would be a little higher what with the return of Meta World Peace. If I should hedge - how much do you think I should risk? The other factor is that I probably will not be able to watch this game because I'm going to some art function in Minneapolis, so hedging to the point that regardless of the result I come out the same is an attractive option as I could then pay attention to my date and not be checking my phone or trying to find a TV constantly. 
Nuggets ML +240
So a $280 bet on Nuggets moneyline would win $672 for total payout of $952.
quote:
Lakers to Win Series: $500 to win $142.86
Pacers/Lakers/Thunder to Win Series: $500 to win $336
Nuggets ML +240
So a $280 bet on Nuggets moneyline would win $672 for total payout of $952.
This post was edited on 5/11/12 at 2:33 pm
Posted on 5/11/12 at 2:56 pm to MinnesotaTiger
$430 would play $1,032 for $1,462 total
Lakers win $1,000 pays $478.86 for $1,478.86
takes a lot of worry off your back and you either make 32 dollars of 48.86
Lakers win $1,000 pays $478.86 for $1,478.86
takes a lot of worry off your back and you either make 32 dollars of 48.86
Posted on 5/11/12 at 3:28 pm to PokerChamp21
Thanks a ton - I'm not going to pull the trigger just yet b/c I think with huge public teams like the Lakers we'll see the Nuggets ML price improve closer to tip.
Maybe I would only have to wind up playing about $365 if the odds for Denver inprover another +020.
Maybe I would only have to wind up playing about $365 if the odds for Denver inprover another +020.
Posted on 5/11/12 at 3:31 pm to PokerChamp21
quote:
Lakers win $1,000 pays $478.86 for $1,478.86
Another way to look at it is that my cumulative odds are still better than the current odds for Game 7 with Lakers at -280. And that's probably going to get to -300. The more I think about it the more I'm going to just throw like $175 on Denver ML right before tip so that I'll still be rooting heavily for Lakers but a Denver upset wouldn't quite be Armageddon for my account balance either.
This post was edited on 5/11/12 at 3:32 pm
Posted on 5/11/12 at 3:40 pm to MinnesotaTiger
Just hedged on the clippers/grizzlies series with a 1 point opportunity for a middle.
I hope this kind of strategy doesn't get me in trouble with Sportsbook.com
This post was edited on 5/11/12 at 3:41 pm
Posted on 5/11/12 at 3:41 pm to MinnesotaTiger
quote:
The other factor is that I probably will not be able to watch this game because I'm going to some art function in Minneapolis, so hedging to the point that regardless of the result I come out the same is an attractive option as I could then pay attention to my date and not be checking my phone
If this wasn't an already look at me thread, you just took it to the next level here.
Posted on 5/11/12 at 3:48 pm to LSUzealot
quote:
If this wasn't an already look at me thread, you just took it to the next level here.
Meh. I took a huge risk and have been ridiculed, etc. in this thread even while winning a decent amount of money. I think most fair minded people would say I deserve the payoff when I win, as I am regularly savaged and peppered with "dude WTF" and
when I lose or when people disagree with my plays. My main point of this thread was to entertain people - either at my expense when I lost $1000 or as I won and made a run towards something bigger.
This post was edited on 5/11/12 at 4:01 pm
Posted on 5/11/12 at 4:31 pm to MinnesotaTiger
quote:
quote: If this wasn't an already look at me thread, you just took it to the next level here.
I'm on Team Minnesota all the way. People get on him for throwing no caution to a value betting strategy. Gambling is about one thing, making money. I hate when people assign "stars" or "units", but there's no reason to get on them about it. That's there method. Like him or not we all can agree at the end of the day he's not exactly hurting thus far.
Posted on 5/11/12 at 4:37 pm to MinnesotaTiger
Get it broski! I'm pulling for ya! Time to print the mother frickin TSHIRTS!
Posted on 5/11/12 at 4:58 pm to MinnesotaTiger
I'm on the bandwagon as well. If you do make it to 65 hundo, might as well shoot for 10kPosted on 5/11/12 at 5:07 pm to Flatt2Flowers04
let's do it! Small play to give me something to watch while I clean my place up...
ETA: BTW my bankroll is about to get a lot smaller because I really am going to withdraw the max $2500 within the next 2 or 3 days. So I might crap out pretty quickly if I'm only working with $800 or so... have been trying to get my leftover up to like $1500 so I have some ammo to keep rolling with.
ETA: BTW my bankroll is about to get a lot smaller because I really am going to withdraw the max $2500 within the next 2 or 3 days. So I might crap out pretty quickly if I'm only working with $800 or so... have been trying to get my leftover up to like $1500 so I have some ammo to keep rolling with.
This post was edited on 5/11/12 at 5:10 pm
Posted on 5/11/12 at 5:54 pm to MinnesotaTiger
I really like the over on the Philly game tonight. I'm putting $200 on it.
Posted on 5/11/12 at 8:25 pm to gonzo03
+200
Posted on 5/11/12 at 10:55 pm to MinnesotaTiger
frick i thougth i had taken the clippers +2. im such an idiot.
the whole fricking point of that bet was to create a middle - i even posted it in my bet thread. FML. I'm such a retard.
This post was edited on 5/11/12 at 10:57 pm
Posted on 5/11/12 at 10:57 pm to MinnesotaTiger
Damn, would you have gotten the middle on that?
Posted on 5/11/12 at 11:00 pm to LSUtoOmaha
I would have pushed and gotten my $318 back and then been poised to win the Grizzlies bet. Not a middle but a push and a potential win. Instead if the Grizzlies LOSE game 7 i've middled myself into 2 losses
This post was edited on 5/11/12 at 11:01 pm
Posted on 5/13/12 at 12:29 am to MinnesotaTiger
Huge win tonight fellas - drunken betting does pay off sometimes.
I was watching the 2nd half downtown after the art show and I knew the Lakers were going to pull out the game. If you don't like me posting the bet after the fact I understand but I got back to my condo in time to grab screenshots, plus the timestamps should verify me (in addition to the existing bets that you all should recognize from me posting earlier).
I was watching the 2nd half downtown after the art show and I knew the Lakers were going to pull out the game. If you don't like me posting the bet after the fact I understand but I got back to my condo in time to grab screenshots, plus the timestamps should verify me (in addition to the existing bets that you all should recognize from me posting earlier).
This post was edited on 5/13/12 at 6:44 am
Posted on 5/13/12 at 12:43 am to MinnesotaTiger
keep it rolling
Posted on 5/13/12 at 12:47 am to MinnesotaTiger
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