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Apple Will Hit $1,650 by the End of 2015: Analyst

Posted on 3/28/12 at 5:38 pm
Posted by rickgrimes
Member since Jan 2011
4340 posts
Posted on 3/28/12 at 5:38 pm
quote:

On a day where Apple shares hit $621, yet another new high for the company, one analyst speaking in a CNBC interview boldly predicted that shares will hit $1,650 by the end of 2015, in large part because there will soon be just as many tablets sold as PCs.

According to Eric Jackson, founder of Ironfire Capital and a hedge fund manager, many consumers who are purchasing iPhones and iPads are also becoming increasingly interested in purchasing laptops, as well.


“Macs are growing at 26 percent annually in the last year and I think the pace is increasing,” Jackson said. “Assuming the pace continues, Macs could sell something like 50 million units by 2015.”

At this point, though, Macs make up only nine percent market share of the PC industry, but the industry is still growing, despite all of the negative talk that surrounds it.

Meanwhile, the tablets have come a long way in a short period of time. Jackson noted that two years ago, the market didn’t even exist, but now iPads account for 20 percent of Apple’s business, which is a trend he fully expects to continue. In fact, many people in and around the industry feel it’s not unreasonable to think that 500 million tablets could be sold by 2015.


LINK

I am assuming no stock has ever been priced so high. Is it reasonable to think it will be split before it reaches $1650?
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 3/28/12 at 6:21 pm to
quote:

I am assuming no stock has ever been priced so high. Is it reasonable to think it will be split before it reaches $1650?


Well, if you are talking pure price, then Berkshire class A shares laugh at that statement. If you are talking market cap, that would be correct. Forecasting splits is pointless. Personally, I think AAPL loves to see their price climbing and won't split, but it's just a guessing game.

Now that that is out of the way. That guy is a complete clown. He probably was on the same train when Oracle was being projected to be bigger than the US GDP in 5-7 years, using implied growth rates. The Apple party train will eventually end, as do all of these super growth stories, the interesting thing is to see how high they go before then.

Keep in mind they are a cell phone company that is the largest corporation in the world. Buy into the hype if you will, but I am not.
Posted by tiger perry
Member since Dec 2009
25668 posts
Posted on 3/28/12 at 7:40 pm to
I have 17 shares of Apple. Thinking of buying a few more shares to go to 25 shares. Is this a good decision in your opinion?
Posted by kaaj24
Dallas
Member since Jan 2010
952 posts
Posted on 3/28/12 at 7:56 pm to
Irrational exuberance. Short-term play. When I see articles argue that all you need to do is purchase shares of Apple to prepare for retirement, it makes me hesistant to say the least. And then factor in Jobs is no longer with us, I'm not sure how much longer they'll stay ahead of the curve.
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 3/28/12 at 8:19 pm to
I have absolutely zero clue what my price target for the company is. All I am saying is that I am not buying.

I am undoubtedly going to be wrong in the short run, but in the long run, I feel comfortable in predicting that apple will crash.
Posted by tiger perry
Member since Dec 2009
25668 posts
Posted on 3/28/12 at 8:20 pm to
thanx for the advice...
Posted by BigBoyTiger
Cleveland
Member since Aug 2005
9578 posts
Posted on 3/28/12 at 8:21 pm to
quote:

I have absolutely zero clue what my price target for the company is. All I am saying is that I am not buying.



My theory on this is: I missed the upswing and upside. From my perspective there's nothing to see here and I'm moving along.
Posted by aaronb023
TeamBunt CEO
Member since Feb 2005
11774 posts
Posted on 3/28/12 at 8:49 pm to
quote:

I am undoubtedly going to be wrong in the short run, but in the long run, I feel comfortable in predicting that apple will crash.


this. what little ive learned about the market, past and present, is when EVERYONE jumps into one asset and says its a sure thing, it usually crashes a short time later
Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
13161 posts
Posted on 3/29/12 at 8:56 am to
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 3/29/12 at 9:27 am to
That guy posts on the OT and F&D Board.
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 3/29/12 at 11:31 am to
Not sure if serious.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
179324 posts
Posted on 3/29/12 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

but in the long run, I feel comfortable in predicting that apple will crash.


such a wussy statement.
Posted by Camp Randall
The Shadow of the Valley of Death
Member since Nov 2005
17600 posts
Posted on 3/29/12 at 12:35 pm to
Yea, how long of a run? In the long run, I feel comfortable predicting that our sun will collapse and explode.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
179324 posts
Posted on 3/29/12 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

Yea, how long of a run? In the long run, I feel comfortable predicting that our sun will collapse and explode.
in the long run after apple hits 1,000 splits off pays me 2 million dollars off dividends alone, cure cancers, hits 1,000 again, splits in 4, reaches 789, it'll crash to 631.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
62446 posts
Posted on 3/29/12 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

“Macs are growing at 26 percent annually in the last year and I think the pace is increasing,” Jackson said. “Assuming the pace continues, Macs could sell something like 50 million units by 2015.”


Why would more people overpay for a laptop when Apple just made iOS devices no longer need computers?

The logical next big growth market for Apple is TV but Jobs always felt that would be a tough industry to be successful in.
This post was edited on 3/29/12 at 2:05 pm
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 3/29/12 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

such a wussy statement.


I'm not beating my chest over the issue. I'm just telling you that Apple would be the first company ever to acheive the kind of growth that is projected and probably the 25th to have it projected upon them. I'm going out on a limb against the most successful company in the world right now. That's not very "wussy".

quote:

Yea, how long of a run? In the long run, I feel comfortable predicting that our sun will collapse and explode.


I don't know. I would say that it is likely that in 5 years, everyone looks back and talks about how they don't know how they could have bought into the hype. For right now, Apple is an incredibly innovative technology firm that has made itself the premier manufacturing and design firm in the world. It's a pretty unique concept and it is working for them, but nobody can throw smoke for 25 innings straight. Everyone gets gassed and I don't think Apple is going to be the company that makes that statement false.
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 3/29/12 at 4:32 pm to
In other news, the anti-Apple: LINK
Posted by BennyAndTheInkJets
Middle of a layover
Member since Nov 2010
5858 posts
Posted on 3/29/12 at 4:54 pm to
Ahhh... RIM is always good for a laugh.

They had the opportunity to sell several times when their R&D segment was one of the best. I haven't looked at them in a while, but I'm guessing that LBO value has fallen dramatically.
Posted by Brightside Bengal
New Metairie
Member since Sep 2007
3961 posts
Posted on 3/29/12 at 4:59 pm to
While I'm sure sales of the Iphone 4s were strong, it was probably the worst of all the iphone editions as far as technological improvment over the previous model.

If Apple whiffs again this year on a phone that has little to no technological improvement, you will see them start to have major issues.

PS. 4G alone is not that great of an improvement because it is reliant solely on the provider's service.
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 3/29/12 at 7:03 pm to
Its one thing to be a stubborn founder and drive your company into the ground before you demote yourself. Its another thing to be a founder that drives your company into the ground, demote yourself, then be relieved of said demoted duties by the BOD like a quarter later. Epic corporate fail.
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