All of these stats are nice, but the reason they are just stats and are not conclusive, is that they do not take into account the specific match ups and circumstances.

For example: with the return of certain players recently, how much adjustment should be made to earlier stat for the pigs to reflect the current strength of the team? Also, it's very difficult to account for the flexible nature of a game plan based on the strengths of each team. LSU's offensive game plan at bama was conservative, and could afford to be so, because bama was doing the same thing (both to protect against having the opposing defense make a big play.) Bama did not have to worry about that when they played the pigs because of the weaker defense they faced, and the same will be true for LSU against the pigs.

There are too many individual match ups and circumstances to let stats really tell you much when two teams are vastly different like these two are.

I'm looking at the pigs and seeing that they have gotten it done all year but once, but they sure have played with fire, and if they do that Friday they will get smoked and torched. LSU, on the other hand, has taken care of business all year long in a very crisp manner, and nothing seems to affect them at all. The outcome of every game has been dictated fully by the Tigers, and I see no reason to not expect more of the same Friday.

To put it another way, as I've seen elsewhere lately (or close to it) nobody else in CFB controls their destiny - the Tigers control it all!

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Posted by Mike Linebacker

Texas

Member since Sep 2009

3404 posts

Posted on 11/22/11 at 12:58 pm to Tigerloo

quote:
Tigerloo

Good post

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Posted by just me

Front of the Class: Schooling You

Member since Mar 2006

34489 posts

Posted on 11/22/11 at 1:02 pm to Tigerloo

quote:
All of these stats are nice, but the reason they are just stats and are not conclusive, is that they do not take into account the specific match ups and circumstances.

No stats are conclusive of a game except post-game stats.

quote:
For example: with the return of certain players recently, how much adjustment should be made to earlier stat for the pigs to reflect the current strength of the team? Also, it's very difficult to account for the flexible nature of a game plan based on the strengths of each team. LSU's offensive game plan at bama was conservative, and could afford to be so, because bama was doing the same thing (both to protect against having the opposing defense make a big play.) Bama did not have to worry about that when they played the pigs because of the weaker defense they faced, and the same will be true for LSU against the pigs.

There are too many individual match ups and circumstances to let stats really tell you much when two teams are vastly different like these two are.

I . . . uhhhh . . . well . . . WTF are you trying to say?

Are you trying to say that one cannot analyze teams and games before the game?

quote:
I'm looking at the pigs and seeing that they have gotten it done all year but once, but they sure have played with fire, and if they do that Friday they will get smoked and torched. LSU, on the other hand, has taken care of business all year long in a very crisp manner, and nothing seems to affect them at all. The outcome of every game has been dictated fully by the Tigers, and I see no reason to not expect more of the same Friday.

Soooo one can analyze teams and games?