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re: Why does OU and Bama have better odds at winning the BCSNC than LSU?

Posted on 11/16/11 at 8:35 am to
Posted by Minew
New Orleans Diaspora
Member since Nov 2009
69 posts
Posted on 11/16/11 at 8:35 am to
To win the nat'l championship:

LSU has to beat Ole Miss, Arkansas, Georgia and the #2 team in the country

UA has to beat GA Southern, Auburn, and the #2 team in the country

OU has to beat Baylor, Iowa State, OK. St. and the #2 team in the country.

Though it controls its own destiny, LSU has the most difficult path. It has to beat 3 top 10 teams, OU has to beat 2, and Bama 1. OU probably edges Bama on odds b/c of the additional events necessary for Bama to make the BCS final.
Posted by Minew
New Orleans Diaspora
Member since Nov 2009
69 posts
Posted on 11/16/11 at 8:38 am to
OU also has an edge b/c if they win out the computers will put them ahead of all other 1-loss teams
Posted by Lithium
Member since Dec 2004
62112 posts
Posted on 11/16/11 at 8:39 am to
Boise has No chance and board says 8/1
Posted by BayouBlitz
Member since Aug 2007
15852 posts
Posted on 11/16/11 at 9:06 am to
quote:

UA has to beat GA Southern, Auburn, and the #2 team in the country


AND needs OSU to lose to Oklahoma
AND needs voters to put them #2
AND hope that Oregon's computer ranking isn't high enough to trump a slim human poll lead

Clearly these odds aren't updated. Bama does NOT have an easier road.
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