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Started By
Message
Posted on 8/12/11 at 10:39 am to John Merlyn
I don't care when people make technical calls, because I don't know how to judge them. I care when people make fundamental calls because those are ones that I can analyze for bullshite, and because more often than not, its built on bullshite and easy to tear apart. He's not made any fundamental calls until now.
Posted on 8/12/11 at 10:42 am to kfizzle85
So does this cat know what he's talking bout or what?
Posted on 8/12/11 at 10:45 am to TulaneLSU
quote:
I don't care when people make technical calls, because I don't know how to judge them.
Posted on 8/12/11 at 11:04 am to kfizzle85
quote:Who said that?
I don't care when people make technical calls, because I don't know how to judge them.
Posted on 8/12/11 at 11:05 am to NC_Tigah
I did, I was quoting myself in response to TulaneLSU asking me if Baylor knows what he's talking about. I'm saying I don't know (or particularly care), because I don't know anything about technicals.
Posted on 8/12/11 at 11:59 am to kfizzle85
Still don't see any fundamental analysis. All seems like technicals to me, which is fine. But you need to keep that in mind. It is what it is.
Peoples perceptions drive the market. If people are focussed on techniczals then they drive the market. When people switch their focus to the fundamantals, if the fundamentals do not agree with the charts, the markets will react to that.
Either way, I don't want to be trampled by the herd!!
Peoples perceptions drive the market. If people are focussed on techniczals then they drive the market. When people switch their focus to the fundamantals, if the fundamentals do not agree with the charts, the markets will react to that.
Either way, I don't want to be trampled by the herd!!
Posted on 8/12/11 at 12:08 pm to Sid in Lakeshore
quote:
1000 is a certain unless something crazy happens like a 2 to 4 trillion package from the Government.
QE 3 would not even help.
It would take the Government lifting the debt ceiling much higher then what was just approved and throwing trillions at the problem.
This is a fundamental prediction, not a technical one.
Posted on 8/15/11 at 11:17 am to Baylor
Sold SSO this am @ 1190. Nice little 8% run in a week.
Posted on 8/15/11 at 9:51 pm to NC_Tigah
there is a meeting in Europe Tues. Will the results of that meeting prevent the S&P from going over 1220?
Posted on 8/15/11 at 10:52 pm to kfizzle85
This is interesting...
Global Recession Warning
Daiwa Capital Markets economist Kevin Lai says Hong Kong Recession Risk Is Global Warning
Of nine economists in a Bloomberg News survey, Lai came closest to predicting a 0.5 percent contraction in the city’s economy in the second quarter. Only two of the analysts expected gross domestic product to decline from the previous three months. The government released the data Aug. 12.
“Global demand is really weak and we expect the U.S. and Europe will see a sharp slowdown, or near-zero growth, next year,” Lai said in a phone interview in the city today. “A recession is a reality for Hong Kong.”
An 11 percent decline in Hong Kong’s merchandise exports in the second quarter from the previous three months highlights the weakness, Lai said. In a note, he described the economy as the world’s “most externally-driven” and said that a slump has “grave implications.”
The world economy is “entering a new danger zone” and international policy makers need to take steps to restore confidence, World Bank President Robert Zoellick said yesterday in Sydney. A U.S. debt-rating downgrade and a widening European debt crisis triggered a global rout of equities.
Some economists define a global recession as a slowdown in combined global growth under 2%. That is a near-given.
Mike "Mish" Shedlock
LINK
Global Recession Warning
Daiwa Capital Markets economist Kevin Lai says Hong Kong Recession Risk Is Global Warning
Of nine economists in a Bloomberg News survey, Lai came closest to predicting a 0.5 percent contraction in the city’s economy in the second quarter. Only two of the analysts expected gross domestic product to decline from the previous three months. The government released the data Aug. 12.
“Global demand is really weak and we expect the U.S. and Europe will see a sharp slowdown, or near-zero growth, next year,” Lai said in a phone interview in the city today. “A recession is a reality for Hong Kong.”
An 11 percent decline in Hong Kong’s merchandise exports in the second quarter from the previous three months highlights the weakness, Lai said. In a note, he described the economy as the world’s “most externally-driven” and said that a slump has “grave implications.”
The world economy is “entering a new danger zone” and international policy makers need to take steps to restore confidence, World Bank President Robert Zoellick said yesterday in Sydney. A U.S. debt-rating downgrade and a widening European debt crisis triggered a global rout of equities.
Some economists define a global recession as a slowdown in combined global growth under 2%. That is a near-given.
Mike "Mish" Shedlock
LINK
Posted on 8/17/11 at 9:12 am to The Easter Bunny
we'd need basically another 1.2% roughly burst today. Possible, maybe not likely.
Posted on 8/17/11 at 1:07 pm to Baylor
quote:
Baylor
Whats the word? I have been following along and just was seeing what your buddy says now. Thanks
Posted on 8/17/11 at 1:25 pm to Chad504boy
I think you might be the best short-term contrarian indicator on the board right now.
Posted on 8/17/11 at 1:42 pm to kfizzle85
quote:
I think you might be the best short-term contrarian indicator on the board right now.
Are you suggesting that he disproves EMH, via negative alpha?
Posted on 8/18/11 at 9:17 am to TheHiddenFlask
Looks like Baylor might be right again... Should have bought some SDS me.
Posted on 8/18/11 at 9:27 am to kfizzle85
quote:
I think you might be the best short-term contrarian indicator on the board right now.
because i was monitoring yesterday's gains?
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