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re: Housing market gurus - we've only just begun?

Posted on 7/27/11 at 9:48 pm to
Posted by uscpuke
Member since Jan 2004
5037 posts
Posted on 7/27/11 at 9:48 pm to
My phrase meant a very large increase in inventory in an already over saturated market leading to housing values plunging to prices well below today's value. it also meant that an escalation in defaults could also lead to another banking crisis.

I would imagine places like Phoenix cannot fall much below record lows since they were ground zero for this, but homes in LA can still fall much further.

All that being said, I posted b/c I suck at finance and was interested in knowing if this data means much or if it is just another shot in the dark.
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 7/27/11 at 10:19 pm to
I don't see any reason why inventory would dramatically increase, there's no impetus for another dramatic decline. You can look at the Case Shiller that was just released yesterday and see that we aren't very far from hitting what you could argue the point of a normalized CAGR pre-housing boom.
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