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re: Miles's comments regarding 3rd and 8 are disturbing

Posted on 9/30/10 at 2:06 pm to
Posted by The312
I Live in The Three One Two
Member since Aug 2008
6967 posts
Posted on 9/30/10 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

Alabama (2009)
4/10 (40%) - 44 yards - 0 TDs and 1 Pick

La Tech (2009)
7/22 (32%) - 105 yards - 1 TD and 0 Picks

In both games, Lee threw for 40% or less. Jefferson hit over 45% of his passes against WV.


These arguments are becoming absurd. First of all, you cannot use the Bama game as a basis for comparison. Having to trot into Bryant Denny in the fourth quarter against the best defense in the nation (and the ultimate NC) on short notice after a week in which you do not get the majority of the snaps with the first team is not a viable basis for meaningful conclusions.

Second, the fixation on completion percentage is hilarious. If I told you before the game that you could have a QB who throws for 105 yards, 1 TD, and 0 INTs or a QB who would throw for 75 yards, 0 TD's, and 2 INTs, only a moron would choose the latter because he had a higher completion percentage on meaningless short throws. Good god. What sort of analysis yields the conclusion that you'll trade 13% increase in completions for fewer yards, fewer TD's, and more INTs.

Again, Jefferson played as poorly as a QB can last week, worse than Lee in 09. WORSE.
This post was edited on 9/30/10 at 2:08 pm
Posted by KappaSwig
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2009
502 posts
Posted on 9/30/10 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

These arguments are becoming absurd. First of all, you cannot use the Bama game as a basis for comparison. Having to trot into Bryant Denny in the fourth quarter against the best defense in the nation (and the ultimate NC) on short notice after a week in which you do not get the majority of the snaps with the first team is not a viable basis for meaningful conclusions.


Why can't we expect that if he's just as good as you all would have me believe? After all, that's his JOB! To be READY, no matter when, no matter where.

quote:

Second, the fixation on completion percentage is hilarious. If I told you before the game that you could have a QB who throws for 105 yards, 1 TD, and 0 INTs or a QB who would throw for 75 yards, 0 TD's, and 2 INTs, only a moron would choose the latter because he had a higher completion percentage on meaningless short throws. Good god. What sort of analysis yields the conclusion that you'll trade 13% increase in completions for fewer yards, fewer TD's, and more INTs.


I'd rather a higher incompletion rate and a victory than someone throwing the ball to the other team for a touchdown any day. I bet any football coach (yes, even might Lord Saban) would say the same.

quote:

Again, Jefferson played as poorly as a QB can last week, worse than Lee in 09. WORSE.


I don't think anyone is saying they thought Jefferson played flawlessly. I think that my argument is that your proposed medicine might make things worse, based on a record and proven ability in actual games. Now, you all want us to just forget 2 years ago and last year.
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