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re: Bookie says they won't play

Posted on 8/31/10 at 11:55 am to
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 8/31/10 at 11:55 am to
The most likely scenario is that the guy placing that double bet loses one and wins the other. Whcih means Vegas wins by collecting the vig on the bets, and the win/loss cancels out. Multiply by all the gmablers employing this stupid stategy and Vegas will make a killing so long as LSU doesn't win "within" the spread.
Posted by Zach
Gizmonic Institute
Member since May 2005
112595 posts
Posted on 8/31/10 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

The most likely scenario is that the guy placing that double bet loses one and wins the other. Whcih means Vegas wins by collecting the vig on the bets, and the win/loss cancels out. Multiply by all the gmablers employing this stupid stategy and Vegas will make a killing so long as LSU doesn't win "within" the spread.


True. But this is a game that is much more likely to fall within the spread than say, Ohio State v. Marshall. Therefore, Vegas is worried that too many people will employ the strategy if the line shifts too far for LSU. That's risky.

Here's a good way to test it. If the announcement is made Wed or Thur and the line moves to LSU -4 then my info is wrong. If the announcement is made and the line stops at LSU -2/5 then my info is correct.

I'm not a gambler. Can't stand it. My only reason for posting is that there is conflicting info about the status of these UNC players and I think we can all agree that Butch Davis has already made that decision.
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