Technical analysis looks easy to me...

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Stocks May Go Up, Down or Sideways,

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That's what stocks ALWAYS DO. The secret is finding out what order they will do those things....

Or I will just DCA for 50 years and not worry about market fluctuations.

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Or I will just DCA for 50 years and not worry about market fluctuations.

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Overall, this is my mantra.

But I'm starting to lean toward the dark side. Yes, I know there's no rhyme or reason to market timing. Though people do get rich doing it. I generally scoff at people who claim to have it all figured out, but you can't win if you don't play. Unlike the fools who play the lottery with this mindset, the buyer has the games rigged in his favor at Wall St. Casino.

Maybe I'll start playing soon.

There was an article about a month ago about a lady who was originally from TX who had won 4 lotteries. She had a doctorate in math and had taught at Stanford and I believe UCLA. She had won ~ $15M in total if I recall. 3 of the wins were from scratch offs. It did not go into great depths as she was very private and reclusive but locals said she played a lot.

You read my take on 401k management in another thread. I still stand by people can do much better in their 401k performance by using their brains instead of a static allocation DCA.

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Not a bad idea, if you don't want to have any fun.

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If trading is fun, fine but there's a cost for that.

DCA avoids that. Yes, some people do spectacularly well by getting lucky. Some don't. The main difference is that the losers rarely make the news.

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It is not about predicting the future, but rather understanding the probabilities of future movements.

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And past performance can be and very often is an excellent indicator as to those future movements.