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re: LSU Talent Level
Posted on 8/6/10 at 7:34 pm to tduecen
Posted on 8/6/10 at 7:34 pm to tduecen
A.
those stars are not written in stone.
MO Claiborne was apparently underestimated.
Its someone's idea, based on THEIR points of view.
Its not REALITY as it WILL unfold.
B. However, the rivals ratings are often VERY indicative. Someone ran some numbers a few years ago, I recall, using the stars over a five year period.
There was a HIGH correlation, between being the highest rated recruiting class, out of high school, and actually being #1 in the SEC west. IT DID NOT WORK 100%, but there was a high correlation. the worst the highest rated team did was 2nd.
And sometimes the 2nd team won. being highest rated was based on adding up all the classes for a given school/team.
Most years, the highest recruiting value as a team, won the SEC west.
the numbers I saw were for the SEC west teams, before BAMA had re-arrived. So Auburn and LSU were the big dogs in the data and in real life.
being highest rated was based on adding up all the classes for a given school/team.
I know Nutt and Ark won his first year after he left Murray. That was not based on stars. That was based on rah rah, gung ho!
those stars are not written in stone.
MO Claiborne was apparently underestimated.
Its someone's idea, based on THEIR points of view.
Its not REALITY as it WILL unfold.
B. However, the rivals ratings are often VERY indicative. Someone ran some numbers a few years ago, I recall, using the stars over a five year period.
There was a HIGH correlation, between being the highest rated recruiting class, out of high school, and actually being #1 in the SEC west. IT DID NOT WORK 100%, but there was a high correlation. the worst the highest rated team did was 2nd.
And sometimes the 2nd team won. being highest rated was based on adding up all the classes for a given school/team.
Most years, the highest recruiting value as a team, won the SEC west.
the numbers I saw were for the SEC west teams, before BAMA had re-arrived. So Auburn and LSU were the big dogs in the data and in real life.
being highest rated was based on adding up all the classes for a given school/team.
I know Nutt and Ark won his first year after he left Murray. That was not based on stars. That was based on rah rah, gung ho!
1
Posted on 8/6/10 at 10:51 pm to ottothewise
Kelvin was a 3 star and he's pre-season all sec and will likely be a first or second round pick next year. Al woods was a 5 star and he was lucky to even get into the NFL.
star rankings are made on potential alone and many times they are accurate, but there is no way a star system is going to accurately predict everyone. There are lots of guys who develop later, work harder or benefit from great coaching (non LSU players).
star rankings are made on potential alone and many times they are accurate, but there is no way a star system is going to accurately predict everyone. There are lots of guys who develop later, work harder or benefit from great coaching (non LSU players).
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