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re: Oil Spill and Offshore Fishing (Latest Developments)
Posted on 5/1/10 at 8:27 pm to TigerDog83
Posted on 5/1/10 at 8:27 pm to TigerDog83
quote:
ID of the riser and drill pipe the oil is coming out of so they probably can determine a better estimate through their ROV images than some website looking at sheen from satellite images. From what info is available this particular reservoir had never been flow tested it appears.
I'm with you on who would know better. They drilled into a productive area and controlled it. Probably analyzed it and planned their temp abandonment. I'm not sure where they were at in the abandonment stage, or if they were in that phase at all. With Halliburton's involvement, maybe it was during the cementing phase, which can get tricky.
So their "estimates" probably take those initial findings into account.
Just using the hydraulic equation for flow rate, if we could figure a velocity for the oil flow, you can get do the math on the rest. Highly inaccurate still because the riser is crimped....big time.
I don't want to take away from the seriousness of this spill; but, place one drop of motor oil into a swimming pool. The sheen will spread out like crazy. But the main concentration of oil is still very small and getting smaller as it dilutes across the water surface. Just sayin', pictures can be deceiving.
Posted on 5/1/10 at 9:05 pm to GeauxDeep
quote:BP has the one thing no one else does... reservoir data. The PG guys are pretty accurate, especially if the well was already in a pay zone.
That's more than BP showed with their "oh, it's 5000" that they said on Thursday morning.
They could be lying through their teeth, but the MMS also has BHP data (presumably). I trust the people with the knowledge more than assuming a thickness over a sketched area on a map. Just me.
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