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LSU Point Spreads for the Remainder of the Season

Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:30 pm
Posted by MidCityTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2004
809 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:30 pm
If the following games were played this week, these would be the approximate point spreads:

Georgia -3 over LSU
Florida -14.5 over LSU
LSU -2 over Auburn
LSU -28 over Tulane
Alabama -14.5 over LSU
LSU -19 over La. Tech
Ole Miss -4 over LSU
LSU -10 over Arkansas

LSU would be a big dog in two games, with three more that are essentially toss-ups. These spreads will change slightly, depending upon how each team plays between now and then.
This post was edited on 10/1/09 at 6:32 pm
Posted by xGeauxLSUx
United States of Atrophy
Member since Oct 2008
22915 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:37 pm to
Posted by Lucky Loper
Member since Aug 2009
1022 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:38 pm to
DUde, I'll be very happy to bet with you if that's your lines. Where do you get your information from? a dream you had last night?
Posted by tigerfan84
Member since Dec 2003
26617 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:38 pm to
I'm thinkin' Tulane is gonna cover.
Posted by Lucky Loper
Member since Aug 2009
1022 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:43 pm to
Your saying, if the game was played this week?? So a Florida team would be 14.5 point favorites without Tebow? That is incorrect. He will probaly get to play next week and I don't see them being more then a 7-8 point favorite. If we beat Georgia it could even be 6.
Posted by MidCityTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2004
809 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:43 pm to
The lines will be very close to that, Lucky. Which lines do you think are out of line?
Posted by Lucky Loper
Member since Aug 2009
1022 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:44 pm to
And we'd be favored over Auburn by more then 2 at home this week. This doesn't make any sense at all
Posted by Lucky Loper
Member since Aug 2009
1022 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:47 pm to
Alabama is also out of line. The bookies are good at setting lines to get both sides to bet. Everyone would jump on LSU plus 14.5. That line also would be single digits this week.
Posted by MidCityTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2004
809 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:49 pm to
You are correct about Tebow, and I was not considering the injury angle. Injuries will always have that effect. However, I think you would find that the line would not change more than 3 points for Tebow being out.

With Tebow definitely out, Florida -12 over LSU.

Any others you disagree with?
Posted by DanceCommander
Detroit
Member since Sep 2009
546 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:50 pm to
quote:

Alabama -14.5 over LSU




i'd look for LSU to cover in that one...
Posted by MidCityTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2004
809 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:50 pm to
No way Bama would be single digits over LSU playing there this week. The betting public would be all over Bama.
Posted by MidCityTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2004
809 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:51 pm to
You need to take a look at how Auburn is playing right now. That game will be a virtual toss-up.
Posted by Lucky Loper
Member since Aug 2009
1022 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:51 pm to
Well man, I'm sorry but your wrong. No way to prove it either.
Posted by MidCityTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2004
809 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:54 pm to
As for Bama, I think we will play 'em down to the nub. But the betting line won't mirror my sentiments. Bama is seen as (and may be) a powerhouse, and Nick is viewed by many as the best coach in the land. That will ensure lots of cash being put down on the tide.
Posted by Lucky Loper
Member since Aug 2009
1022 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:55 pm to
LSU will get 3 just for being home team against Auburn. And they have been decent, not overly-impressive. Please tell me why Tennessee is favored over Auburn by 2 if they are good. Are we the same as Tennessee according to your theory?
This post was edited on 10/1/09 at 6:56 pm
Posted by MidCityTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2004
809 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:57 pm to
Lucky, we will keep track. Barring unforseen injuries to key players, I expect these lines to be within two of the real line when the game comes around. usually, even a key player will not change the line by more than 3 or they will simply take it off the board.

By the way, did you expect Georgia to be -3 before the line was put out? I nailed it exactly.
Posted by Lucky Loper
Member since Aug 2009
1022 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 6:59 pm to
I expected the Georgia game to be a pick-em. It started as a 2 and has moved to 3, early money is on the Dawgs. ANd we shall see.
Posted by MidCityTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2004
809 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 7:03 pm to
The pros see Auburn as being about a point better than LSU right now. I think the Tennessee line is slightly off but not by much. I think Auburn should be favored by one or two points, but Auburn is underreated by the public for the kind of team they have. I like Auburn in the game.

LSU is now a 3.5 dog to Georgia.
This post was edited on 10/1/09 at 7:04 pm
Posted by LSUzealot
Napoleon and Magazine
Member since Sep 2003
57656 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 7:05 pm to
are you a bookie? where are u getting these lines?

tenn is favored to win by 1.5 so you're saying vegas thinks tenn = LSU?
Posted by lsulj
Member since Sep 2003
269 posts
Posted on 10/1/09 at 8:18 pm to
sports.com had florida -9 before tebow got hurt.
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