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Started By
Message
re: Nola
Posted on 5/23/09 at 10:45 am to moneyg
Posted on 5/23/09 at 10:45 am to moneyg
quote:
I'm not interested in having an inane discussion on the details of OBP, even though I disagree with your point.
Of course you are. You've been doing it for two pages. I even told you explicitly going in it was an esoteric argument and you plowed right ahead. For you to say you aren't interested in this argument is patently false. You've been arguing it for quite some time and even when you say you don't care, you say you disagree. Showing that, well, you do care.
quote:
My interest is in your assertion that because OBP is calculated the way it is, it inflates Nola's value relative to the other players on the team. I disagree with that.
Try this thought experiement. Take two players. You know nothing about their hitting stats except two things:
1) They both have relatively the same number of at bats
2) Player A has 6 sac hits. Player B has 0 sac hits.
Now, knowing nothing else. Who's the better hitter? Anyone who has watched baseball for more than a year knows the answer to this question and will be right 95% of the time.
There's a reason the pitcher always bunts. Laying down a bunt for an out is not a positive. It's an out.
quote:
However, the above is duly noted and will be used to evaluate your other baseball opinions moving forward.
Note that you can't answer the question, Because it involves thinking aboout the game in a different way and challenging received wisdom. What is the difference between the ball being bobbled by the second baseman or hitting it to where the fielder was supposed to be but wasn't? In fact, you know it intuitively. Hence a lot of the pro-Nola arguments which talk about his "hard hit" balls.
That goes to hitting luck. A player doesn't have much control whether the batted ball becomes a hit or an out (except homers). You've already made the first step in your earlier arguments, you just haven't realized it yet. Or sat around and thought about the implications of the statement.
Posted on 5/23/09 at 11:52 am to Baloo
quote:
Try this thought experiement. Take two players. You know nothing about their hitting stats except two things:
1) They both have relatively the same number of at bats
2) Player A has 6 sac hits. Player B has 0 sac hits.
Now, knowing nothing else. Who's the better hitter? Anyone who has watched baseball for more than a year knows the answer to this question and will be right 95% of the time.
And this applies to Nola how? Nobody has said he's a good hitter.
Some have said that while he's not a great hitter, his OBP is pretty decent which helps justify his status as a starter. BTW, that is exactly what OBP is for. It is an attempt to give credit for things other than hits.
You have taken than and illogically argued that sacrifices should be counted against OBP. That's just stupid. Additionally, the thought that a person's OBP would go down if he were to sacrifice less is completely illogical as well. The guy would statistically perform the same way as he did in every other AB thus keeping his OBP very similar.
You have made numerous posts on the subject and have yet to make a decent argument for your position.
quote:
A player doesn't have much control whether the batted ball becomes a hit or an out
So, in your mind, the difference between a guy who hits .250 and a guy who hits .350 can be summed up in the # of HRs and in luck. I find that funny.
I'd say that the difference is in many different factors that involve skill...not luck (ability to make contact consistently, ability to hit the ball hard, ability to hit the ball on a line, general approach at the plate, ability to handle off speed pitches, ability to spread the ball around, ability to cover the inside and outside of the plate, ability to lay off pitches he can't handle, etc. etc. etc.)
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