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re: BOOM! Four-Star Transfer Jordan Sears Has Committed to LSU and Matt McMahon!
Posted on 4/11/24 at 5:29 pm to JWill409
Posted on 4/11/24 at 5:29 pm to JWill409
quote:
Well, this is where statistics get you in trouble if you're not using context. He was a top 10 pick and roll guard in the country. I want to say he was #6 last season, Cook was #10. He fits our system perfectly and he was 9th in the nation in scoring. I'd say that's elite.
You can look at it a few ways. Maybe Hannibal's BPR shot up so much because of the system he was in(this has to be impossible though because MM can't develop players), and maybe Sears was lower because he was literally the only offense on that team....did you think of it that way?
You are right that context matters. To that end, UT Martin played at the 7th fastest pace in the nation and was in the top 20 in terms of FG attempt per game. Faster tempo=more possessions=(generally) more shots=more points.
McMahon has talked about wanting to play fast. LSU did that to some degree this season and, in the process, turned the ball over a TON...which is why their offense was so inefficient. For his part, Sears was in the top 30 in the nation in terms of most turnovers. Now, that has to be taken into context as well. More possessions = more opportunities for turnovers. 3 TOs per game for low possession team is awful. 3 TOs per game for a high possession team may not be that bad.
That aside, most aren't knocking the pick up. LSU NEEDED an experienced PG. And they got one. It's just that most are taking a wait and see approach before getting overly excited. Which is pretty reasonable given LSU has a losing record over the last two years and most of the transfers, particularly at PG, haven't been huge impact players just yet.
Posted on 4/11/24 at 9:48 pm to Alt26
quote:
McMahon has talked about wanting to play fast. LSU did that to some degree this season and, in the process, turned the ball over a TON...which is why their offense was so inefficient. For his part, Sears was in the top 30 in the nation in terms of most turnovers. Now, that has to be taken into context as well. More possessions = more opportunities for turnovers. 3 TOs per game for low possession team is awful. 3 TOs per game for a high possession team may not be that bad.
Yes, I agree, I stated on a previous post that was alarming to me on paper, but hopefully it was from a massive workload. His first 2 season they were around 1.5topg. Assuming his usage rate was much much higher in 2023, but I haven’t dug that deep yet. He is very comparable to Jalen Cook who was also one of the top pick and roll guards of 2023, not as high as Sears.
Your next point about pace is the reason why I don’t see us taking a flyer on a stone footed big man who can’t run the floor efficiently. If we really want to run, we need an another wing. Reed should fit into get most of the 5 minutes followed by Fountain, he runs the floor very well, has great size, and can shoot it. Those are the prototypical MM big men. Not Baker or Dean. You will have Collins that can give you some looks at the 5 as well or fit into a 4 role depending on how he develops. It will also allow us to press more, which we had a ton of success with, just not enough guards and also will allow us to be in a position to have top side help in transition due to our PG(Hannibal) slashing into the lane and getting left behind in transition. That is what killed us. So I think moving more into this system will overall cause more turnovers, less points given up in transition while sacrificing offensive rebounds and some second chance opportunities, which we were really successful at to begin with.
This post was edited on 4/11/24 at 9:50 pm
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