re: Let's Find Out How Smart You Baws Are

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Not sure about this, just seems like a reverse of the gambler's fallacy. I mean statistically speaking tails hitting 20 times in a row is almost impossible, but after 19 in row it's still 50/50 to hit tails the next time.

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So many people are referencing the gambler’s fallacy. That’s not what’s happening here at all.

If you play the game a million times, you will still win around 667,000 times. If you play ten million times, you will win around 6,667,000 times.

The probability of winning is 2/3 if you switch. Always.