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re: Let's Find Out How Smart You Baws Are

Posted on 3/23/24 at 10:59 pm to
Posted by CockHolliday
Columbia, SC
Member since Dec 2012
4528 posts
Posted on 3/23/24 at 10:59 pm to
quote:

But the best way he explained it was instead of 3 let's say there are 100 shells. You choose one and then I'll remove 98 empty ones leaving only yours and one shell left. Would you switch then?


This is how the answer was made clear to me as well. If there were 100 shells before me and I picked one, and the host with the knowledge of which shell had the money flipped over 98 empty ones, leaving only my shell and the last one...what are the chances that the shell I originally picked actually has the money? It's not 50%, it's 1%.
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