re: Let's Find Out How Smart You Baws Are

While I do understand the math behind it, I'm of the belief you shouldn't switch.

Yes, 1/3 is less than 2/3.

And yes, the guy has to show you the one that isn't right.

But in the end, it's two choices. If we are going to let the frequency of choice and previous occurences be factored into probability, I must also include the frequency with which my gut first call is correct. Given it is certainly better than 50%, I'm not switching.

In short, smart enough to know better, too dumb to care.