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re: Let's Find Out How Smart You Baws Are

Posted on 3/22/24 at 2:40 pm to
Posted by jtweezy
Natchez, MS
Member since May 2008
237 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 2:40 pm to
If before you picked, you were given the chance to pick shell A (33%) or both B&C (66%) you would obviously pick B&C because you double your odds. That’s essentially what you’re getting, the opportunity to trade one pick for two.
Posted by piratedude
baton rouge
Member since Oct 2009
2514 posts
Posted on 3/26/24 at 2:09 pm to
obviously, i disagree. your first pick was a 33% probability, since there are three shells. take away a shell, and your pick now has a 50% chance of being right and a 50% chance of being wrong. the only thing that changes the probability is the number of shells.
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