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re: Let's Find Out How Smart You Baws Are

Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:55 pm to
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
14308 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:55 pm to
Video is flawed. You can’t assume the car is in a different door each time. Car could be in the same door two out of three.

First guess 33% chance it’s accurate.
Second guess 50% chance it’s accurate.

This is like thinking theirs a higher chance of hitting black on roulette because it’s hit black the last 5 times.
Posted by BPTiger
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2011
5337 posts
Posted on 3/22/24 at 12:59 pm to
You get to play once. The video shows where the car is in all three scenarios.

You are mathematically wrong.

You have a 33% chance of winning by staying. You have a 66% chance of winning by switching.
This post was edited on 3/22/24 at 1:00 pm
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