re: Biden is going to lose the race on border policy alone.

I'm not so sure R Dawg. The big cities which are impacted a lot by immigration will still go for Biden. Unfortunately there will not be enough voters in the cities to push the state to Trump.
We also don't realize just how many people will turn out just to vote for Trump. Those numbers are big and then you factor in suburban women that dislike Trump and throw in abortion and that will get them to vote.

I think there will be lots of I's and moderate Dems that might switch to Trump, but I don't know if it is enough. If I'm completely honest, I think a DeSantis would've beaten Biden easier than it will be for Trump. There will be a lot of turnout just to vote against him.

I was so confident in 2020 that Trump would win, with Boat parades, car parades, etc that we have never seen before. I don't know why I should be so confident in 2024.