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re: The Challenger exploded on this day 38 years ago...January 28, 1986.
Posted on 1/29/24 at 12:38 am to White Roach
Posted on 1/29/24 at 12:38 am to White Roach
quote:
I believe that NASA calculated that there would be one or two failures in 100 launches. The last Challenger mission was something like the 102nd STS mission.
I'm going from 35 year old memory. It might have been the 110th or so, but that 98/99% success rate rang true.
Did you mean Columbia instead of Challenger?
Challenger was the 25th shuttle mission; Columbia the 113th mission.
Posted on 1/29/24 at 1:41 am to AlwysATgr
quote:
Did you mean Columbia instead of Challenger?
Challenger was the 25th shuttle mission; Columbia the 113th mission.
I meant Challenger, but it was probably Columbia. I guess I conflated the two of them. But two catastrophic failures out of 113 missions works out to something just above 98%.
Does anyone actually believe space is entirely without risk? Admittedly, the Challenger accident could have been avoided if "people" had taken heed of warnings. The Columbia accident involved either ice or foam shedding from the external fuel tank and damaging heat tiles on the orbiter. This shite had been going on since the git go and presumed to be an acceptable risk. And then it wasn't.
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