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re: Going for 2 in that situation.
Posted on 1/22/24 at 6:25 pm to Corinthians420
Posted on 1/22/24 at 6:25 pm to Corinthians420
quote:
it was 50% until this weekend
That huge of a variance should clearly tell you that there is not enough data for anyone to so confidently claim one way or the other is the right thing to do.
We’re not talking about 3-pointers vs 2-pointers in basketball where there are millions of points of data in every imaginable scenario.
How many 2-pt conversions have been successful on the road, against a playoff worthy defense, late in the game after fatigue and some injuries have set in, after the other team has adjusted to your offensive playcalling, etc. etc.
Show me that data.
2
Posted on 1/22/24 at 7:10 pm to xenythx
quote:
How many 2-pt conversions have been successful on the road, against a playoff worthy defense, late in the game after fatigue and some injuries have set in, after the other team has adjusted to your offensive playcalling, etc. etc.
Show me that data.
none of this matters since going for 2 gives you the best chance to win. figuring out how to convert the 2 is on your coach/team.
the odds for the season were 55% of converting a 2 pt conversion. anything above a 40% chance to convert is a bonus when it comes to giving you a better chance to win.
we just watched the Bills kicker miss what was basically an extra pt to cost them a chance to go to OT.
if you want to win, you have to figure out how to convert these "50/50" situations.
if you just wanna let the other team have a better chance to win because you don't feel like you are good enough to execute, then you dont deserve to win anyway.
Posted on 1/22/24 at 8:46 pm to xenythx
quote:Show me the data for 2pt conversions late in games when the defense is tired, defense is injured and you've adjusted to the defenses play calling...
How many 2-pt conversions have been successful on the road, against a playoff worthy defense, late in the game after fatigue and some injuries have set in, after the other team has adjusted to your offensive playcalling, etc. etc.
Show me that data.
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