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re: Going for 2 in that situation.
Posted on 1/22/24 at 2:23 pm to TheSexecutioner
Posted on 1/22/24 at 2:23 pm to TheSexecutioner
quote:
Why does that matter? You are either trying to win the game or lose it. There are no partial losses. If you are trying to win the game, you make the binary decision that gives you the best chance of winning. In this case, it is going for it, and its by a large margin.
You're right, it's not some statistical outcome. But it depends on the play call and the defense and the personnel on the field. You've just got one or two chances and the season is done.
Posted on 1/22/24 at 2:27 pm to Diseasefreeforall
quote:
You're right, it's not some statistical outcome. But it depends on the play call and the defense and the personnel on the field. You've just got one or two chances and the season is done.
sure, this is true. So while the percentage is around 50%, if you have a great 2 point conversion play, you might be higher. Or if you have an incredible kicker, you might project a little better in overtime.
But I don't think most people are understanding how much better it is to go for 2 in the situation that happened. It is essentially 62.5% vs 50% winning percentage on games where you score the other touchdown. That is a ton.
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