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re: Going for 2 in that situation.
Posted on 1/22/24 at 2:07 pm to Corinthians420
Posted on 1/22/24 at 2:07 pm to Corinthians420
These discussions get into the philosophy of probability and frequentism vs bayesianism.
Teams in that situation may win with a certain frequency using a certain strategy but that does not take into account game conditions and what specific plays are run and how the opposing defense has performed against those plays and what personnel is on the field during the play.
The Bayesian is constantly updating their odds based on situations while the frequentist just says that if something happens a large number of times it will trend toward a certain probability.
Teams in that situation may win with a certain frequency using a certain strategy but that does not take into account game conditions and what specific plays are run and how the opposing defense has performed against those plays and what personnel is on the field during the play.
The Bayesian is constantly updating their odds based on situations while the frequentist just says that if something happens a large number of times it will trend toward a certain probability.
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