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re: Going for 2 in that situation.
Posted on 1/22/24 at 1:46 pm to TheSexecutioner
Posted on 1/22/24 at 1:46 pm to TheSexecutioner
quote:and then take it to ot?
If you miss the first one, you have a chance to get the second one.
Might as well kick two xps if you want to play for ot.
If you’re really adamant on playing to win/lose in regulation put all the chips on the second attempt.
Two low probability attempts vs one low probability attempt.
3
Posted on 1/22/24 at 1:50 pm to theCAW
quote:
Two low probability attempts vs one low probability attempt.
it isn't a "low probability attempt"
In 2023, teams were successful on 2-point conversions 70 out of 127 times (55%). You only need to convert 40% of the time for going for 2 for it to give you a better % chance of winning than kicking an XP.
Posted on 1/22/24 at 2:04 pm to theCAW
quote:
and then take it to ot?
Might as well kick two xps if you want to play for ot.
If you’re really adamant on playing to win/lose in regulation put all the chips on the second attempt.
Two low probability attempts vs one low probability attempt.
Yes, the 50% of the time that your first 2 point conversion didn't work, you still get a chance to take it to OT. The 50% of the time that the first 2pt did work, you can take the PAT and not even have to play OT.
Posted on 1/22/24 at 6:27 pm to theCAW
quote:If you were forced to get your life savings on a coin flip, would you prefer 1 flip and if you lose, you lose... Or would you prefer a 2nd chance if you lose the first one to get back to even?
If you’re really adamant on playing to win/lose in regulation put all the chips on the second attempt.
quote:50% is low probability?
Two low probability attempts vs one low probability attempt.
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