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re: What is your MBB excitement level after a 3-1 start to SEC play?
Posted on 1/18/24 at 9:12 am to Alt26
Posted on 1/18/24 at 9:12 am to Alt26
So let’s look at the schedule, you have 7 and 7 home and road. You should go 5-2 at home for the remainder, UK and Bama will be tough but Bama is very beatable. In the road is where it'll make or break the season. Going to Bama and Tennessee are probably losses but you go to Vandy which should be a win. The rest are UGA, Fla, SC and Arky. If you split those that’s still 11 wins and you’re almost guaranteed a spot in March. Again the SEC is projecting 8 teams in right now so no matter the non conf mishaps 11 wins is going to have you well ahead of a possible outside looking in team because nobody in that middle to lower SEC group has any non conference resume either. College basketball nationally doesn’t have a lot of good teams which is why the SEC looks like it’s going to get so many this year.
Posted on 1/18/24 at 9:22 am to Madking
I'm getting excited. I'm blocking out Saturday and Wednesday game times to watch or at least record. That's a big deal for me. Pre-Wade I wasn't paying any attention to LSU MBB. I'm optimistic and having 10 SEC wins would be great and a huge improvement from last year.
Posted on 1/18/24 at 9:27 am to Madking
quote:
So let’s look at the schedule, you have 7 and 7 home and road. You should go 5-2 at home for the remainder, UK and Bama will be tough but Bama is very beatable. In the road is where it'll make or break the season. Going to Bama and Tennessee are probably losses but you go to Vandy which should be a win. The rest are UGA, Fla, SC and Arky. If you split those that’s still 11 wins and you’re almost guaranteed a spot in March. Again the SEC is projecting 8 teams in right now so no matter the non conf mishaps 11 wins is going to have you well ahead of a possible outside looking in team because nobody in that middle to lower SEC group has any non conference resume either. College basketball nationally doesn’t have a lot of good teams which is why the SEC looks like it’s going to get so many this year.
That's a lot of "shoulds". I bet there are many Ole Miss fans who circled yesterday's game as a "should" win. I try to be more realistic and recognize winning on the road is very tough. So it's hard for me to say ANY road game is a "should" win. Even at Vanderbilt.
I agree that 5-2 in the remaining home games seems do-able. Can you find 3 more wins on the road? Really hard to say yes with a lot of certainty right now. Georgia could be the most improved team in the league right now. They already have 2 road wins and took Tennessee to the wire at home. Arkansas is struggling at bit. But winning at BWA is tough. South Carolina is better than last year. How much, we don't know just yet. And I always try to account for just "unexpected" results that seem to happen for every team.
Could I see a scenario that LSU gets to 11 SEC wins? If they can win on Saturday, I do. But I'll try to be a bit more cautious in my expectations (not hopes) and say 8-9 wins is more realistic.
Posted on 1/18/24 at 9:42 am to Madking
According to kenpom, a very well respected site that hasnt gotten too low or too high on this team all season, theyll be favored in 4 games rest of season including at vandy and 3 home games against arkansas, uga, mizzou.
So expecting more than 7-8 conference wins is pretty lofty expectations relative to what power ratings experts say.
But i also know what madking is trying to do, thats obvious
So expecting more than 7-8 conference wins is pretty lofty expectations relative to what power ratings experts say.
But i also know what madking is trying to do, thats obvious
This post was edited on 1/18/24 at 9:44 am
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