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Understanding Inflation

Posted on 1/13/24 at 8:22 am
Posted by cadillacattack
the ATL
Member since May 2020
4551 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 8:22 am
For those that may be interested in better understanding Inflation, and the proper interpretation of the Fed outlook

This article does a good job of describing the government’s published numbers:

quote:

Over the years, government officials, along with government apologists in the mainstream financial media and academia, intentionally shifted the definition of inflation to suit government purposes. The standard definition of inflation you hear during White House press conferences or a CNBC roundtable is basically just government propaganda. Hazlitt alludes to the reason for this intentional change in definition. Redefining “inflation” as “rising prices” allows government people to shift the blame.


https://www.gold-eagle.com/article/common-definition-inflation-wrong-its-just-government-propaganda
This post was edited on 1/13/24 at 8:35 am
Posted by gizmoflak
Member since May 2007
11674 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 8:36 am to
quote:

But thanks to the change in definition, there is no word for the thing that causes price inflation – money printing.


In that case, let's invent a new word:

impecreate / impecreation - the act of government printing money

A portmanteau of "imperium pecunia creatio," Latin for "government money creation"
Posted by Violent Hip Swivel
Member since Aug 2023
2749 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 8:56 am to
If you click on the link in Desktop version your computer will contract AIDS.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51978 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 9:01 am to
quote:

Redefining “inflation” as “rising prices” allows government people to shift the blame.


This is an oft-missed point, but where it is even more important is in the reverse as the decrease in "inflation" is falsely implied (and thus, inferred) as being "lowering prices".

quote:

Over the years, government officials, along with government apologists in the mainstream financial media and academia, intentionally shifted the definition of inflation to suit government purposes.


See: OER
Posted by Rust Cohle
Baton rouge
Member since Mar 2014
1973 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 7:28 pm to
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124542 posts
Posted on 1/15/24 at 7:48 am to
quote:

Redefining “inflation” as “rising prices” allows government people to shift the blame.
While inflation is not the same as price increase, price increase is the measure of inflation. Cause leads to effect, with inflation representing the effect. The question is one of cause. IMO manipulation comes in redefinition of the effect, e.g., in government definitions juxtaposing Core CPI with "inflation."

Determinative root cause of pansectoral price escalation is indeed increased money supply in most situations. So much so that as the world transitioned to fiat in the 20th century, economists like Freidman highlighted money supply importance by insisting it to be the only cause of inflation.

But as supply-demand determines price, and price is the measure of inflation, a monetary-injection demand-reset needn't always be causative. For example, a massive supply reduction across multiple sectors results in scarcity induced (demand-pull) inflation.

Given a "core CPI" basket packed with nonessentials, we can create hypotheticals where price escalation is matched by demand decrease in such as way as to negate any need for monetary injection.

In 2021-22, scarcity and failure of government to anticipate/mitigate demand-pull was the inflation catalyst. Government will happily blame-shift that away as well.
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