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re: 10 yr yield going to 5%
Posted on 9/24/23 at 11:55 am to KillTheGophers
Posted on 9/24/23 at 11:55 am to KillTheGophers
quote:
Mid to small regional bank stocks that have CRE portfolios are about to get crushed.
This has me more worried than anything else. There is god knows how much vancant CRE space out there and companies are canceling leases upon expiration. These buildings also can’t be refinanced at todays rates. There has to be billions in CRE coming to an inflection point.
This…rising rates in mid-long term treasuries, growing deficit and existing debt that needs to be rolled over, consumer credit spiking…and the Fed is boxed in because cutting rates will just drive inflation further.
There’s a bunch of bad shite coming coming down the road.
Posted on 9/25/23 at 5:46 am to SquatchDawg
quote:
There’s a bunch of bad shite coming coming down the road.
the bond market is working to find a breaking point and they will find it.
it's kind of poetic if S&P ends this year around 4050, which is basically flat from Nov. '22. great trading opportunities here with increasing vol.
equity bulls had their fun in the 1H, but bears making the comeback
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