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Point spread remains unchanged

Posted on 8/30/23 at 2:38 pm
Posted by Shanghai Tim
SVR, WY
Member since Nov 2005
167 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 2:38 pm
Recent LSU news regarding Smith and Emery along with the game in Florida but no point spread movement. Thoughts on why?

LSU still has plenty despite the loss of these two players?

FSU despite their hupe are actually over hyped?
Posted by Nitrogen
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Aug 2016
5498 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 2:40 pm to
Because our DL and RB groups are deep baw
Posted by JustinT37
Hammond, LA
Member since Sep 2014
1854 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 2:43 pm to
A hurricane is hitting the state of Florida and you think they have the advantage.
Posted by geauxtigers33
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
13734 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 2:54 pm to
Why would you think the 3rd string at best running back would change the line?
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
29161 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 2:59 pm to
How much value do you think Vegas puts on one player?

It's not much.
Posted by WaterLink
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2015
18413 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

How much value do you think Vegas puts on one player?


Depends on the player and position. Starting QB out would absolutely change the line. End of the rotation RB? Not so much.
Posted by Tigerfan1274
Member since May 2019
3543 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

Recent LSU news regarding Smith and Emery along with the game in Florida but no point spread movement. Thoughts on why?


Because they are not QBs. QBs are typically the only position that moves a line in football. I think Calvin Johnson once did when he was with the Lions, but that is about it.
Posted by Jameson2954
Member since Mar 2022
697 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 3:06 pm to
Lol. What if it were Daniels, they would put a lot of value on that.
Posted by Clark W Griswold
THE USA
Member since Sep 2012
10585 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 3:27 pm to
Maybe these things weren’t so unknown.
Posted by Quatrepot
Member since Jun 2023
4135 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 3:42 pm to
What is the spread on this game?
Posted by Hiphopanonymous
Baton rouge
Member since Jul 2014
2508 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 3:49 pm to
LSU -2.5
Posted by Quatrepot
Member since Jun 2023
4135 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 3:51 pm to
Tks
Posted by JW6
Member since Jul 2013
1645 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 4:14 pm to
Emery wasn’t playing a snap anyway. He’s number 5 or 6 in depth chart.

Mason smith is a big loss. But won’t change spread
Posted by Tiger2tiger97
Member since Jul 2021
664 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 4:18 pm to
A lot it just depends on the position. Like if burrow would have been out a game, the point spread would’ve changed in that game
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
57706 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 4:31 pm to
The game was always in Florida.

Emery was never going to be a factor

Any movement regarding Smith woulda happened after the reports of bad ankle.
Posted by geauxtigers33
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2014
13734 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

Maybe these things weren’t so unknown.


There is a very high chance Vegas knew Smith wasn’t playing when they set that line. They have the connections to know that information way before we do.
Posted by DBG
vermont
Member since May 2004
74227 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 4:45 pm to
Only QBs move the line.
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
29161 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 5:06 pm to
quote:

A lot it just depends on the position. Like if burrow would have been out a game, the point spread would’ve changed in that game


No shite. But outside of QB, individual players don't move the line much, if at all.

Cam Rising is Utah's best player and the line vs. Florida was Utah -9 when it opened several months ago. Now that it looks like Rising won't play, it's Utah -4.5. So a starting QB and best player is only worth about 5.5-6 points.

A defensive lineman and back-up RB is worth about zero as far as Vegas is concerned.
Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
60686 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

Only QBs move the line.


Usually. I think Perkins or maybe Campbell being out would move it a little, though. Maybe not automatically, like Vegas hears the news and immediately moves it. But the news would probably have money coming in for FSU and they’d be forced to move the line to adjust. But on the whole, you’re probably right. Only the starting QB being ruled out would see a significant move.
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
57814 posts
Posted on 8/30/23 at 5:26 pm to
Hasn’t smith barely even practiced? He wasn’t going to play a ton even if he wasn’t suspended
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