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Started By
Message
re: Georgia - Biden +1 over Trump, DeSantis +3 over Biden
Posted on 5/19/23 at 9:33 am to TigerAttorney
Posted on 5/19/23 at 9:33 am to TigerAttorney
quote:
How convenient. 4 point spread and the MOE is 4.4%.
Lol
Just about every poll posted on this board has a 4-5% MOE. What's your point?
1
Posted on 5/19/23 at 11:46 am to BugAC
quote:
Just about every poll posted on this board has a 4-5% MOE. What's your point?
GA went 49.47% to 49.24% in 2020.
If it is a true toss up, polls showing a 3-4% gap are irrelevant when inside the MOE. As a pollster, I can cover my arse and flip the results by 2-4%.
General election state polls are irrelevant right now. Primary state polls show gaps of 15-20% that’s relevant.
Hypo: Desantis 49 Biden 45. Biden 47 Trump 45. MOE 4.5
= an irrelevant survey of 500 ppl that means it’s a toss up.
When a candidate is up 15-20%. That’s pretty indicative they are going to win. Not within MOE
This post was edited on 5/19/23 at 11:48 am
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