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re: Southern Severe Weather Threat (Thursday/Friday)

Posted on 2/28/23 at 1:05 am to
Posted by auggie
Opelika, Alabama
Member since Aug 2013
28348 posts
Posted on 2/28/23 at 1:05 am to
quote:

I’ve seen too many people killed and too much damage to not take severe thunderstorms seriously. My cousin’s home was destroyed in an EF-3 tornado in 2021 on a day that started out with only a level 1/5 marginal risk.


But this is why you don't start predicting really bad tornadic weather too far ahead of time, things come together hour by hour and can be very localized.
When weather people start predicting severe weather too early and then nothing happens, people start ignoring warnings.
I'm not a weatherman, but I have been through several tornadoes and very close to some really bad ones.
I don't think this cold front is strong enough to expect really bad tornadic activity in La. Ms. or Al., maybe further north.
This post was edited on 2/28/23 at 1:22 am
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
58418 posts
Posted on 2/28/23 at 2:27 am to
quote:

don't think this cold front is strong enough to expect really bad tornadic activity in La. Ms. or Al., maybe further north.


I mean I guess it depends on how you define "really bad" but does this mean you deem yourself smarter than the SPC?
Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
65147 posts
Posted on 2/28/23 at 10:03 am to
quote:

But this is why you don't start predicting really bad tornadic weather too far ahead of time


The 2011 Super Outbreak was forecasted over a week in advance of the event. If the evidence is there you put it out to the public for consumption.
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