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re: Hurricane Season - NHC Tracking TD7 but Very Low End Gulf Threat

Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:11 am to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164545 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:11 am to
quote:

Did the job as Sonic Tropical Advisor also come with free Limeades?


Don't shite on operational meteorology. Sonic needs to know where to send those limes.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
22313 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:11 am to
quote:

Nice to possibly have no named Storms in August for the first time since 1997!


Not happening. 91L is gonna get named before September 1st, book it.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55195 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:12 am to
quote:

Did the job as Sonic Tropical Advisor also come with free Limeades?

Free tots. They salt the hell out of them to make him buy more limeade.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:12 am to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164545 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:13 am to
quote:

Not happening. 91L is gonna get named before September 1st, book it.


12z GFS doesn't think so

It does have the Caribbean system organizing around the 31st/Sep 1st.
This post was edited on 8/28/22 at 11:14 am
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
22313 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:18 am to
I really hope we get to September without a name, but looking at that last ASCAT I'm having my doubts we make it.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55195 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:19 am to
Who is going to finally make the call and hang a "Broken" sign on the GFS?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55195 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:21 am to
quote:

looking at that ASCAT

Pervert.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
22313 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:22 am to
ASCAT porn is a wholesome thing you judgmental twat!
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164545 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:27 am to
12z GFS puts the Caribbean system into Mexico farther south and weaker. But it has it strengthening upon landfall.

It also doesn't develop 91L or 92L in a reasonable timeframe and has them out to sea.

Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
22313 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:29 am to
quote:

It also doesn't develop 91L or 92L in a reasonable timeframe and has them out to sea.


You're the meteorologist, and looking at it right now, how can the GFS be even close to correct here? What are we not seeing?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164545 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:30 am to
It's not just GFS calling 91L a dud



GFS has it getting its act together 200 hours out.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
22313 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:31 am to
I mean in the short term though. SAL impacting its development?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164545 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 11:38 am to
There's a ton of mid level dry air and shear generated by a upper level low in the central atlantic in front of it. Conditions should slowly improve
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
76769 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 2:49 pm to
Let us all pray to St. Rhonda, the patron saint of shear.

Posted by bobbyleewilliams
Tigertown
Member since Feb 2010
8271 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

12z GFS puts the Caribbean system into Mexico farther south and weaker. But it has it strengthening upon landfall.

It also doesn't develop 91L or 92L in a reasonable timeframe and has them out to sea.

brother.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
39396 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

means it is time to invest.
quote:

in what? Hurricanes


In 91L. Once this sumbitch crosses FL, is it going to vacation in Vermillion Bay?

Can I get 4 dvq's to stop gobbling cock long enough to dv this post?

ETA: K. Thanks
This post was edited on 8/30/22 at 2:14 am
Posted by DingleBarry
Member since Aug 2021
317 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:10 pm to
quote:

I get so fricking angry that, let's say this gulf system that's showing on the GFS never materializes. No one goes back and beats his balls with a claw hammer for that shite. Everyone either forgets or just doesn't care.



Pretty sure that dude has a mullet
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
7657 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

Don't shite on operational meteorology.


I guess that is better than broadcast meteorology where the object is to scare the audience shitless to keep them watching and sell advertising.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164545 posts
Posted on 8/28/22 at 5:26 pm to
Happy hour GFS switched back to a strong hurricane into the Texas/Mexico border

It keeps 91L and 92L out to sea. 91L still not developing much until it gets into a better environment next weekend.
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