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re: How many third and longs (Over 7 yards) have we given up?

Posted on 10/21/08 at 7:52 am to
Posted by no1g8r
Member since Oct 2004
110 posts
Posted on 10/21/08 at 7:52 am to
No, 14 is the total number of 1st downs LSU has given up on 3rd down plays.

LSU has given up 9 first downs on 3rd and 7+ yards, all on passing plays. Opponents have been in a 3rd & 7+ yard position 29 times (23 passing attempts, 6 rushing attempts).

That's a 31% success rate against LSU on 3rd and 7+ yards.

I'm no dawg fan, but since they are your next opponent, I looked them up as well. They've given up 9 1st downs on 44 attempts where the situation was 3rd & 7+ yards. That's a 19% success rate.

By comparison, Florida (my team) has given up 4 out of 31 attempts, a 13% success rate for their opponents in this situation. I wish that I could say this is all because of Florida's defense, but UF's opponents have dropped an amazing number of 3rd and long passes when no defender was close to them.


Posted by TigerPanzer
Orlando
Member since Sep 2006
9476 posts
Posted on 10/21/08 at 8:21 am to
I'd also be interested to know how many 20+-yard plays we've given up, and how that compares to other teams. I suppose the stat and the comparison are out there somewhere in Computerland. Anyway, it seems to me we give up more than our share of big yardage plays—whether it's first down, second or third. And it seems to me we've been doing this for years now. This is just my perception and I could be wrong; lacking data I can't say for sure. And this is not a whiner complaint—God knows with the success we've had over the last four years, I ain't complaining. Just making an observation—and wondering if it's statistically valid.
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