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re: I still think this team needs more shooting

Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:27 am to
Posted by Bronc
Member since Sep 2018
12646 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 11:27 am to
quote:

The BI regression is one of the hardest things to fathom



If you dig in it seems to be a combo of 2 things:

1.) Lack of secondary elite talent to free up and set up BI most of the year

2) Shot selection emphasis going even stronger to the mid range.

He takes way fewer wide open shots, and is less open this year.

He's still regressed, and that's worrying(down to 36% on C&S from 40% a year ago), but he's still 44% on the year when wide open(though actually regressed since CJ got here, which is also concerning).

Willie also always loved the mid range game, to a fault, and it wouldn't shock me if he told BI to really embrace it.

But with Zion coming back, BI is gonna have more of those looks, and so will everyone.

....just hoping we luck into Mathurin or Sharpe and can develop them like our Simons though.
Posted by Dinky Mulberry
Member since Aug 2021
1848 posts
Posted on 4/8/22 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

If you dig in it seems to be a combo of 2 things:

1.) Lack of secondary elite talent to free up and set up BI most of the year

2) Shot selection emphasis going even stronger to the mid range.


I think the Pels actually have more 3-pt shooting than we realize. I assume, with the return of Zion, BI will go back to where he was his first 2 years at NO. A very solid 38.5% 3-pt shooter, 42.6% on C&S...and very importantly, 35% of his total shots taken being 3-pters. We currently don't shoot enough 3s and shoot them very poorly. BI should help this "problem" next year...since he had dropped to 32.7% on 3s/36.3% C&S/with ONLY 23% of his shots coming from 3-pt range this year. This is a horrible developement (although maybe necessary with current team makeup)

Herb will improve his 3-pt shot next year. I woulda been VERY happy with 33/34% this year. I think he'll end up at 34/35%. (Next year, I expect 36/38% from 3 by Herb) And although his 3-pt "usage rate" is a very poor 29.4%, that is deceiving because of the incredible 35/37 "foot faults" he has suffered while attempting what are suppose to be 3-pt attempts. His adjusted 3-pt usage is right around the target of 36%.

By the way, the last thing we want to do with Herb is make him ONLY a corner 3-pt shooter. He shoots close to 50% of his 3s from above the break & 50% from the corner, and his shooting % is very close from either location. Making someone ONLY a corner 3 shooter, when they have the same success from non-corner...imo, is not very smart as it has many downsides associated with it, which, since this post is already TOO long, I won't go into at this time.
This post was edited on 4/8/22 at 1:04 pm
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