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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 5/14/24 at 2:35 pm to
Posted by RuLSU
Chicago, IL
Member since Nov 2007
8104 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 2:35 pm to
Good to know you think the NYTimes is a legitimate source.
Posted by Trevaylin
south texas
Member since Feb 2019
5967 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 2:39 pm to
Odessa will fall to the Russians by June 30. Cutting off Ukraines access to sea shipping. The advances in the north are designed to pull defenses from Odessa
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
9662 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

Refined products combined are their biggest export, but Crude is still the single largest category.


Cash flow and profit are two different things. When prices were below $50 per barrel, there is no profit in Russian crude oil sales. There is profit from OPEC and US sales but not Russian.

Profit margins matter A LOT
This post was edited on 5/14/24 at 2:44 pm
Posted by SoonerK
Member since Nov 2021
948 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

Odessa will fall to the Russians by June 30. Cutting off Ukraines access to sea shipping. The advances in the north are designed to pull defenses from Odessa

Who is going to support this amphibious assault on Odessa, the Russian Black Sea fleet at the bottom of the sea or the remainder that won't leave its eastern ports anymore?
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
36255 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 2:49 pm to
quote:

Odessa will fall to the Russians by June 30. Cutting off Ukraines access to sea shipping. The advances in the north are designed to pull defenses from Odessa


Year?
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
2240 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

The advances in the north are designed to pull defenses from Odessa


The advances in the north are at least partially because local oligarchs laundered western $ through fake contractors and took the loot. Just like many of us in here were saying they were doing
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6876 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

Odessa will fall to the Russians by June 30. Cutting off Ukraines access to sea shipping. The advances in the north are designed to pull defenses from Odessa


How will Russia capture Odessa? Will they launch an amphibious assault or will they retake Kherson and move east from there?
This post was edited on 5/14/24 at 3:11 pm
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
9662 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

Odessa will fall to the Russians by June 30. Cutting off Ukraines access to sea shipping. The advances in the north are designed to pull defenses from Odessa


You need to stop dropping acid or eating Shrooms
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
9662 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

The advances in the north are at least partially because local oligarchs laundered western $ through fake contractors and took the loot.


Enlighten us on how you know this to be the case or just because he want to believe this.
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
53823 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 3:21 pm to
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
2240 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

Enlighten us on how you know this to be the case or just because he want to believe this.



BBC verifies that fields weren't mined and there were no defenses

LINK

From the Mezha Anti-Corruption Center

LINK


Heres some more money laundering from earlier this year

LINK
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
2240 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 3:57 pm to
Nero fiddled while Rome burned. Blinken sang Young while the northern lines fell.
Posted by ColtRange
Member since May 2023
542 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

The advances in the north are at least partially because local oligarchs laundered western $ through fake contractors and took the loot. Just like many of us in here were saying they were doing


Idk man, look at this impressive line of dragon's teeth near Kharkiv



Last year the pro-Ukraine bro's couldn't stop laughing at Russia's fortifications.

Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
2240 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 5:01 pm to
Prepare for downvotes and to be called a shill for posting actual aerial images
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
690 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

You're looking at this short term. Their military likely won't be strengthened during this war, but in the years after its entirely possible if not the most likely outcome that the equipment they are pulling out of storage will be replaced with newly manufactured equipment. Its unlikely that a nation as large and with as many people and natural resources as Russia just withers away into a shell of itself and not rebuild its military, regardless of the result of the Ukraine War.


You're not looking at the long-term demographic profile for Russia... in 20 years it will be in population collapse. That's another reason why Putin tried to turn 20 million Ukrainians into "Russians," especially the children... and also why he had to go ahead and invade when he did... the reasons they want to reclaim the Russian/Soviet Empire are as much about preventing demographic and its corresponding economic collapse as they are about power.
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
690 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 5:40 pm to
quote:

Heres some more money laundering from earlier this year

LINK


and that's Ukraine pointing that one out, isn't it? Not hiding it... that would point that they're trying to solve those problems.

Corruption is a problem in much of Eastern Europe, as a legacy of its Soviet/Eastern Bloc days...

Still, Russia is the undisputed champ!!!

your second link... so, when did you become fluent in Russian?
Posted by ticklechain
Forgotten coast
Member since Mar 2018
492 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 5:41 pm to
20 years huh? That must be some crystal ball you have.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19775 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 5:48 pm to
quote:


quote:
Heres some more money laundering from earlier this year

LINK


and that's Ukraine pointing that one out, isn't it? Not hiding it... that would point that they're trying to solve those problems.

Corruption is a problem in much of Eastern Europe, as a legacy of its Soviet/Eastern Bloc days...

Still, Russia is the undisputed champ!!!

your second link... so, when did you become fluent in Russian?


Had there not been corruption in the USSR, it would have collapsed much sooner.

Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
2240 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 5:48 pm to
quote:

your second link... so, when did you become fluent in Russian?


Google where a .ua website is coming from and then run the article in translate

The woman who wrote the article is based in Kyiv and was employed by the UK at one point
This post was edited on 5/14/24 at 5:49 pm
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
690 posts
Posted on 5/14/24 at 5:51 pm to
quote:

How will Russia capture Odessa? Will they launch an amphibious assault or will they retake Kherson and move east from there?


I've been waiting for Putin to use Transnistria for something... I'd imagine it's been kept to launch towards Odessa from the West... someone HAS to be watching for that, right? I'd suspect Moldova and Romania do not sleep on that place a second...

CNN WORLD: "A Breakaway region in Europe is asking Russia for protection. Here's what to know"

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