The transfer portal will make recruiting obsolete.

You’re not. It’s the truth.

The portal will change recruiting, but not eliminate it. There will continue to be a huge premium on QBs in recruiting as the college game becomes more like the NFL. Alabama has had three straight Heisman caliber QBs. Mac Jones didn’t win it, but will arguably be the best NFL QB.

Talent evaluation is at a premium now for portal players. Much NFL talent is developed after high school (late bloomers) and the ability to identify that talent in the portal will be critical. One issue we’re seeing this year is tampering, in other words, recruiting players from other teams to enter the portal. That’s the biggest issue with the portal. If the tampering can be controlled, then recruiting the right players combined with good coaching, superior talent evaluation, and player develop will be most important going forward.

Lots of high end kids transferring from Alabama?

Can we just go pluck a first rounder from them?

Oh yeah, kids making money and running up stats don’t transfer.

You’re wrong because most of the kids who transfer are not good

You still have to play football

Won't make it obsolete, but it does minimize it some

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Tell me why I'm wrong.

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Because the entire thing is completely out of balance and it’s eventually going to be dialed back because of that. The current setup isn’t sustainable. The portal will eventually be restrained by more rules and regulations to slow the flow of players out of programs. It’s creating too much instability to keep the majority of teams happy.

As for recruiting, it’s short-sighted to think there eventually won’t be a correction back in the direction of at least an even balance of recruiting and the portal. Personally, I think it’s more likely recruiting still ends up being the primary source of players for more major programs.

Just take a look at the NBA in the 90s and early 2000s for a good example of how corrections work. First there was a run on taking guys right out of high school based on a couple of home runs in Kobe and Kevin Garnett. However, even before the one and done rules change that prevented taking high school players, GMs had already started backing off because contracts are guaranteed and there were just too many huge misses to justify the risk.

Then it was foreign basketball players. People wondered just how far the balance would shift as foreign guys filled the draft lottery for 2 or 3 years in the 2000s. There are still several foreign guys taken in each draft class, but it’s nothing like that initial surge where everyone was searching for the next Dirk or Pau Gasol. Too many guys were busts and products of poor scouting and the market corrected again.

College football will find balance, as well. Once coaches figure out that you can’t build entire rosters and sustain consistent success depending on the portal, the pendulum will swing back. A great coach is always going to do better building a program’s foundation with their own 4 to 5 year guys and then supplement that with the portal to fill holes and bring in instant impact players.

They need to be free agents and be able to go where the money is. They are not students and are not interested in education. The schools make millions off of them and that revenue should be shared. It’s all about money and the players are the revenue producers.

You should have heard the recruiting gurus go off on this shite this week. So far…

Portal people are going to get burned as too many of them

High school kids getting screwed as not enough Scholarships as teams holding a bunch for potential portal guy

NIL Was supposed to be a reward for players that had cheap something instead of just being used as an extra recruiting incentive you guys are getting paid millions of dollars that I’ve never taken a snap.

so effectively the messages were sending is get paid as much as you can right now, don’t worry about hard work or treatment they don’t matter, and as soon as you have the least bit of adversity a competition quick go to the portal and find an easier place to play, and as soon as you so any ability whatsoever quit and head after the NFL or you can make more money. So essentially we are reinforcing a message that the whole world is here just to serve these kids.

Saban was right this is a disaster. I am sure this is going to turn out really well .