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| Favorite team: | New Mexico |
| Location: | |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 19843 |
| Registered on: | 6/19/2008 |
| Online Status: | Online |
Recent Posts
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re: Hurricane Season - Early Season Gulf Action? NHC Watching BOC 91L 70%
Posted by rds dc on 6/17/24 at 12:22 pm
[quote]
Day 1-3 QPF[/quote]
Far West Texas and the Big Bend area are really hurting. Hopefully, this follows model guidance and brings the rain where it is needed.
[img]https://i.ibb.co/LtVbtnm/Texas.png[/img]...
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re: Hurricane Season - Early Season Gulf Action? NHC Watching BOC 91L 70%
Posted by rds dc on 6/17/24 at 12:13 pm
[quote]
Here is some 200+ hour fun from the 12z GFS. Two tropical systems in the Gulf. Not likely to happen.[/quote]
Conditions look to be favorable for a bit. The 00z Euro EPS also had some support for another system out beyond Day 7.
It looks like 91L might do enough to get a name before ...
re: Hurricane Season - Early Season Gulf Action? NHC Watching BOC 91L 70%
Posted by rds dc on 6/15/24 at 10:33 am
No name for 90L.
NHC has the BOC at 50% but track options are still all over the place. Some of the overnight model runs do bring something up towards the Houston area with a lot of rain. ...
re: Coleman Hawkins
Posted by rds dc on 6/14/24 at 9:43 am
It's KSU...
re: Hurricane Season - Early Season Gulf Action? NHC Watching BOC 91L 70%
Posted by rds dc on 6/13/24 at 6:30 pm
[quote]S. Texas says to bring that rainmaker!
[img]https://i.imgur.com/6o4rIUf.png[/img]
[/quote]
Happy Hour GFS tries but drops 40" of rain on South Louisiana in the process :lol:
[img]https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2024061318/384/qpf_acc-imp.us_sc.png[/img] ...
re: Hurricane Season - Early Season Gulf Action? NHC Watching BOC 91L 70%
Posted by rds dc on 6/12/24 at 7:56 pm
[quote]Drum up the fear![/quote]
Always :lol:
I posted a while back that this period looked to have a better than climo chance of spinning something up. We could get three named storms out of this sequence or none. 90L is bringing a lot of rain to FL, but any development will be after it star...
re: Coleman Hawkins
Posted by rds dc on 6/8/24 at 3:31 pm
Would probably be a Top 25 overall player next season based on EM. For reference, only 5 of the Top 25 played in the SEC last season. ...
re: Hurricane Season - Early Season Gulf Action? NHC Watching BOC 91L 70%
Posted by rds dc on 6/8/24 at 2:42 pm
[quote]Conditions become more favorable in that time frame for typical mid-end of June mischief. Euro ensembles seem to be the one model that is being aggressive with it. Other models are showing something just not as active as the Euro[/quote]
The biggest concern for people along the Gulf is hea...
re: Hurricane Season - Early Season Gulf Action? NHC Watching BOC 91L 70%
Posted by rds dc on 6/7/24 at 9:54 am
[quote]with the rapid improvement of AI in the past year, do you think it will have a significant impact on future storm prognostication?[/quote]
I think we are approaching the upper limits of model accuracy until there are significant scientific & modeling breakthroughs in the area of convective...
re: Hurricane Season - Early Season Gulf Action? NHC Watching BOC 91L 70%
Posted by rds dc on 6/7/24 at 9:31 am
[quote]
Must be a new model the doomcasters are using to hype up their YouTube stream counts.
How did AI come to that conclusion? Was it monitoring the entails of Central American pigs, or the tried and true use a blind fold and throw a dart at a map?[/quote]
ECMWF has been running several AI...
re: Hurricane Season - Early Season Gulf Action? NHC Watching BOC 91L 70%
Posted by rds dc on 6/6/24 at 7:51 am
[quote]quote:
The early predictions last year were apocalyptic cane season for 23.
[b]The frick they were.[/b]
El Nino was on. Most preseason forecasts were average to slightly below. The bold forecasts when slightly above and were correct but to say the forecast was for an aggressive season...
re: Disney can’t get out of its own way with new ride…..
Posted by rds dc on 6/5/24 at 8:38 pm
This was such a huge swing and miss by Disney. This screamed to be rethemed to Moana. The build up to the big drop should have been the escape from Lalotai and Tamatoa's lair.
[embed]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=93lrosBEW-Q[/embed]...
re: Hurricane Season - Early Season Gulf Action? NHC Watching BOC 91L 70%
Posted by rds dc on 6/5/24 at 8:36 am
[quote]The GFS loves its long-range tropical systems.[/quote]
It has some support but might be jumping the gun. CAG, favorable MJO cycle, warm SSTs, all point to above climo potential. ...
re: Hurricane Season - Early Season Gulf Action? NHC Watching BOC 91L 70%
Posted by rds dc on 6/5/24 at 8:32 am
[quote]quote:
Or, less likely but not improbable,
When people write like this I immediately stop reading.[/quote]
Whatever gets you through the day. The Space City Weather crew is top notch. ...
Hurricane Season - Early Season Gulf Action? NHC Watching BOC 91L 70%
Posted by rds dc on 6/5/24 at 7:37 am
[img]https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_atl_7d0.png[/img]
...
re: The Senate could be controlled by the GOP after 2024 election
Posted by rds dc on 6/4/24 at 7:24 pm
DDHQ has Rs favored to take full control. There is nothing Rs hate more than being on the hook for actually doing something :lol:
[link=(https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/senate/)]LINK[/link]...
re: Line up next year
Posted by rds dc on 6/3/24 at 8:57 pm
[quote]Tanner Reaves[/quote]...
re: Gym Etiquette. Am I the a-hole?
Posted by rds dc on 6/3/24 at 1:36 pm
[quote]Maybe draw us a map[/quote]
:bow:...
re: Axelrod admits created legal theory
Posted by rds dc on 6/1/24 at 12:22 pm
Starting to see more "Oh, it will get overturned, so what's the big deal!" from people who were peacocking around and gloating just a short while ago. ...
re: Do I have the basics of the charges correct?
Posted by rds dc on 5/30/24 at 10:49 pm
[quote]What was the felony?[/quote]
A misdemeanor (falsifying business records) + a misdemeanor (violation of NY state election law) + another violation from a buffet presented to the jury by the Judge during the instructions. I mean, it's clear as day.
Trump's legal team was not informed in ...
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