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Posted on 5/14/24 at 6:47 pm to Salviati
quote:
DraftKings has set lines for seven of LSU's games: LSU is favored in six of the seven games:
Week 1
LSU vs. USC in Las Vegas
Tigers favored by 6 points
Week 7
Ole Miss vs. LSU in Tiger Stadium
Tigers favored by 2.5 points
Week 8
LSU at Arkansas in Fayetteville
Tigers favored by 9 points
Week 9
LSU at Texas A&M in College Station
Aggies favored by 3 points
Week 11
Alabama vs. LSU in Tiger Stadium
Tigers favored by 1 point
Week 12
LSU at Florida in Gainesville
Tigers favored by 5.5 points
Week 14
Oklahoma vs. LSU in Tiger Stadium
Tigers favored by 5 points
quote:
A reasonable prediction would be that LSU goes 11-1.
Let me preface this by saying, first, I’m mostly optimistic about this year’s team. I think the defense improves tremendously with better scheme & coaching, and I think our offense will take a step back but still be able to compete with anyone we play.
That being said, 11-1 is nowhere near a reasonable expectation with those spreads. Being favored in 11 games does not mean that winning all 11 of those games is the most likely outcome.
If you play 10 games as a favorite with 70% win probability in each, the most likely outcome statistically is 7-3, not 10-0.
Just pointing out a statistical gripe I have with using chalk to project win totals.
Posted on 5/14/24 at 7:36 pm to DalenSA
quote:
Anything under 10 wins is a disappointment
I think you are being honest.
Of course that has nothing to do with a realistic view of the situation.
Posted on 5/14/24 at 7:38 pm to Lsuhoohoo
quote:
8-4. I'm not buying in on the defense with the holes at DT and likely below par starters at LB, S. Can't at this point count on the offense being able to carry the whole team.
If our defense is the same quality as last year we wont win 8 games.
Posted on 5/14/24 at 7:51 pm to cbree88
USC (Vegas) - W (but, we better come to play...)
Nicholls - W
@South Carolina - W
UCLA - W
South Alabama - W
BYE
Ole Miss - L
@Arkansas - W
@A&M - W
BYE
Alabama - W
@Florida - L
Vanderbilt - W
OU - W
I think 10-2...but 9-3 is certainly in play. The Opening game is a coin toss. Kelly has not really shown that he has the team ready for week 1...even going back to ND. I hope we can break that this year. A&M is overrated as always. Ole Miss is for real this year. Florida will be much improved and it is tough to play in the Swamp, a week after Bama. Bama will have a significant drop off this year though with Saban gone....10-2 looks possible for sure.
Can't wait to cheer on the Tigers in Columbia (SC) on Sept 14th!
Nicholls - W
@South Carolina - W
UCLA - W
South Alabama - W
BYE
Ole Miss - L
@Arkansas - W
@A&M - W
BYE
Alabama - W
@Florida - L
Vanderbilt - W
OU - W
I think 10-2...but 9-3 is certainly in play. The Opening game is a coin toss. Kelly has not really shown that he has the team ready for week 1...even going back to ND. I hope we can break that this year. A&M is overrated as always. Ole Miss is for real this year. Florida will be much improved and it is tough to play in the Swamp, a week after Bama. Bama will have a significant drop off this year though with Saban gone....10-2 looks possible for sure.
Can't wait to cheer on the Tigers in Columbia (SC) on Sept 14th!
Posted on 5/14/24 at 8:26 pm to cbree88
9wins a bowl game. Outside chance of a 10 game season
Plus a bowl game win
Plus a bowl game win
Posted on 5/15/24 at 12:03 pm to cbree88
11-1
Posted on 5/15/24 at 12:13 pm to cbree88
Gotta have improvement on defense.
Mandatory .
If not 7-4 is likely
Mandatory .
If not 7-4 is likely
Posted on 5/15/24 at 1:31 pm to cbree88
If we can't win at least 9 shut the program down
Posted on 5/15/24 at 1:53 pm to HattiesburgTiger5439
quote:
passing game will be better
that would be very impressive considering we had the #3 passing offense in the country last year (only 8 yards per game behind #1)
Posted on 5/15/24 at 1:55 pm to cbree88
10 wins
Posted on 5/15/24 at 1:56 pm to cbree88
16-0
Posted on 5/15/24 at 9:05 pm to cbree88
10-2
Losses to Ole Miss and Alabama
Losses to Ole Miss and Alabama
Posted on 5/15/24 at 9:20 pm to cbree88
9-3 or 8-4
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