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ESPN’s FPI Says This Team Is Most Likely To Beat Alabama This Season...

by Larry Leo

August 1, 201926 Comments

ESPN’s FPI Says This Team Is Most Likely To Beat Alabama This Season...Is Auburn

Yep, it's that time of the year where everyone is predicting everything about the upcoming college football season. This week's guessing is "who is most likely going to beat Alabama?" Well, according to ESPN’s FPI, it's Auburn. Per The Spun...

quote:
ESPN’s FPI suggests as much. Alabama is favored to win every single game it will play this season. In fact, there are really only four games that ESPN’s formula thinks that any kind of shot at ending with an Alabama loss.

Mississippi State is given a 21.9% chance to beat Alabama. LSU comes in at 25.2% Texas A&M is at 25.7%.

The team with the best shot? Auburn, at 26.4%. Why? Because Alabama has to play its main rival on the road.

Filed Under: SEC Football

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Originally published on SECRant.com

26 Comments

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tattoo•57 months

Bama has beaten AU 3 of the last 5 in J-H. 2 of those were comfortably.

muletide•56 months

In all fairness, that's a 60% winning percentage. Here, we're being given a 73.6% chance of winning. Do you expect it to be 0%?

TouchdownTony•57 months

This game is always the most worrisome. Especially on the plains where we just don't show up for whatever reason. Auburn always plays its best game too. Only once during sabans time, 2011, was it not a dogfight. It's the iron bowl. It's always been tough. At least Saban CAN win there. Curry, Stallings both were 0fer there, dubose won one, Shula was ofer there as well. Until Saban we were 2 and fricking 7 there.

El Campo Tiger•57 months

LSU will not beat Bama this year.

AlonsoWDC•57 months

ESPN's FPI never shows their work. Garbage index that we're supposed to take as gospel just because ESPN puts it all over their graphics.

BabyTac•57 months

It’d be nice to score a meaningful point against them. Every other SEC team can.

RECConspiracy•57 months

Circle jerk all you want. Ain't gonna happen.

CFFreak•57 months

Enlightening. Anyways, Alabama will lose to A&M and LSU. The slide begins this season. Sorry, inbreeders.

BamaChemE•57 months

I think you've said this every year since 21-0 in the Superdome... At some point a slide will happen, but LSU may want to focus on actually scoring against Bama before talking about winning a game

CFFreak•57 months

Not an LSU fan, hot rod.

SQMIZZOU•57 months

It will be Tigers. Figure out which one.

C3W•57 months

frick Alabama

PsychTiger•57 months

All of the above is also an acceptable answer. Would be fun to watch a team quit on Saban.

19•57 months

Again.

cypresstiger•57 months

Shouldn’t it be Clemson in the NC game?

Ssubba•57 months

When Auburn isn't a complete mess they show up and compete against Saban's Alabama. Easily the most consistent team when it comes to playing the Tide.

tivey6301•57 months

So you're saying that when a team is GOOD, they have a better chance of competing against a good team?? Who knew.

BobABooey•57 months

Do these odds consider whether or not Alabama is focused? Let’s face it, there is a 100% chance that only Bama can beat Bama. Well, Bama and Clemson.

Warfarer•57 months

Auburn has to be a complete and utter dumpster fire for us not to be the most likely to beat Alabama in any given season. Biggest rivalry game and emotions are always at the highest.

JackieTreehorn•57 months

in Auburn I agree.

AU4real35•57 months

We beat bama, LSU, lose to Georgia, beat them in the SEC championship, and lose to bama in the playoffs. Our schedule is really a no win situation.

TaderSalad•57 months

Yall aint beating LSU, baw. LSU will beat you all convincingly.

JackieTreehorn•57 months

I can't imagine what the state would be like with a UA/AU playoff game. Dogs and cats living together....mass hysteria.

CFFreak•57 months

Wrong. Auburn goes 6-6. Book it.

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