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Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:29 pm to DMAN1968
I honestly think it’s a landslide, the left has given the independents no choice
Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:29 pm to DeltaDoc
Moot point. The fact that it is even close is telling. This country is done. Will be Venezuela in 50 years.
Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:30 pm to NashvilleTider
quote:
I think he wins but they won’t let him win - the media will call it for Biden very early despite votes - when Trump tries to challenge they will say he is not willing to leave and accept the result.
Most probable scenario right here.
The media is already in on it.
Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:30 pm to DeltaDoc
12%
Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:30 pm to DeltaDoc
55%. Mostly because of lack of understanding of what is really going on and how crucial this election is by the typical voter. I am amazed at how many of my friends make comments like "Who gives A F***. It's just Portland/Seattle/Chicago ___" "It's just a statue, who cares?". "No one is going to stop you from going to church" "they can't take away our guns" "Why do you care if gays get married they are not going to impact you at all. People can't help who they fall in love with"...now the same thing is being said about pedophilia. Look at the red states that have voted to expand medicare to all. It's get with the "woke" or get cancelled and people still think it doesn't affect them.
Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:31 pm to NashvilleTider
quote:If they get their mail-in wishes, then they won't be able to call it on election night.
the media will call it for Biden very early despite votes -
Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:32 pm to Magician2
quote:
His campaign is failing Trump
I can't agree more with this. His last time out was great and he hammered his points home over and over.
I understand that this time is a different animal with being the incumbent and all the chaos going on in the country, but this should be a slam dunk against Joe fricking Biden as the opponent. How there is any doubt at all right now is a little concerning to me.
Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:35 pm to DeltaDoc
Six months ago, it was his to lose.
Now, post-COVID? Uphill battle. 40% chance, at best, unless the Dems do something really, really stupid.
Now, post-COVID? Uphill battle. 40% chance, at best, unless the Dems do something really, really stupid.
Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:37 pm to DeltaDoc
Before Covid fricked the entire planet up, Trump had a near 100% chance of re-election IMO.
Now I would give him a 60% chance. I've never seen election year shenanigans quite like this before.
Now I would give him a 60% chance. I've never seen election year shenanigans quite like this before.
Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:37 pm to DeltaDoc
70% confidence. We are in silent majority mode.
Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:38 pm to Freauxzen
quote:
My confidence is in something happening either shortly before (a catastrophe of some kind, or COVID explosion that results in tighter lockdowns, etc.) or something happening during the election (read: voter fraud) that prevents him from winning.
I think we don't get the results the night of. Junk mail voting is going to take weeks to tally.
Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:39 pm to HarrisLetsRide
quote:insert Inigo Montoya gif
landslide
Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:39 pm to DeltaDoc
quote:
I’m at about 25% right now.
Stop. This is going to be about like 2016 my man. We need to be more positive about this and still keep in the back of our minds how fuked up it would be if Biden would win.
Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:43 pm to Tiger on the Rag
quote:
Stop. This is going to be about like 2016 my man.
I disagree. People are even more reluctant to tell even perfect strangers that they support Trump. The polls will be even more off this year with the onslaught of cancel culture and additional Marxist driven violence.
And the economy taking a downturn (even though it's pulling together in most states) usually is bad news for the incumbent. Covid has put us into uncharted territory though along with the unconventional candidates (Trump's open assholishness vs a particularly weak candidate that's hiding his senility)
Posted on 8/5/20 at 5:47 pm to Tiger on the Rag
It's not 2016, but I still think it's Trump's to lose. Biden is simply awful, and the Left has clowned itself into a mindless reactionary force diametrically opposed to the best interests of the country it seeks to govern.
That said, Trump needs to deliver - we need a healthy diet of Dems/Biden in bed with China, Dems/Biden fueling a radical ramp up in street violence, and he needs to stop f'n around with the virus and get aggressive opening things up.
That said, Trump needs to deliver - we need a healthy diet of Dems/Biden in bed with China, Dems/Biden fueling a radical ramp up in street violence, and he needs to stop f'n around with the virus and get aggressive opening things up.
Posted on 8/5/20 at 6:09 pm to CamdenTiger
quote:
Pretty confident, watching the Stock market experts, they think he’s going to win, and they stand behind that with their own money,
I don't see how you could say this. A handful of companies that hate Trump are dominating the indexes, but what would you consider "positioning for a Trump win"?
Posted on 8/5/20 at 6:12 pm to idlewatcher
quote:
The betting markets seem fair to me 3:2 against him.
Funny bc 2016 said the same thing. They must be omniscient
You understand that people that have a 40% chance to do something may still win 4/10 times, right? You can't take one of those 4 and argue they have a 100% chance to win, that's hindsight.
Posted on 8/5/20 at 6:12 pm to idlewatcher
Huge silent majority for Trump.
Posted on 8/5/20 at 6:12 pm to DeltaDoc
100%...at the end of the day Republicans gonna get out and vote and will support anyone with an R after their name on the ballot and democrats are going to bitch and moan and whine and take to the streets and then on election day come up with 100 excuses why going to the polls were not on the top of their to do list.
The GOP couldn't win many elections anywhere and almost no national elections if people who self identified as democrats actually in the same number as those who self identify as Republicans....its a function of having adults as your base and not kids....demographically the GOP is in trouble but as long as democrats refuse to vote the GOP is viable.
The GOP couldn't win many elections anywhere and almost no national elections if people who self identified as democrats actually in the same number as those who self identify as Republicans....its a function of having adults as your base and not kids....demographically the GOP is in trouble but as long as democrats refuse to vote the GOP is viable.
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