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What are the real chances Repubs take the house?
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:09 am
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:09 am
Trump seems to think it’s possible. Is he reaching?
21
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:11 am to ell_13
Need 218 for a majority and currently have 197. Going to be tough
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:11 am to ell_13
Close to 0 but who knows in this climate
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:12 am to The Easter Bunny
Ending oil statement by Biden may make it possible.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:12 am to ell_13
Who knows. May end up gaining the House and losing a seat or two in Senate.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:12 am to ell_13
If Trump wins like it looks like he could win and Biden collapses in the next 10 days, it's going to look a lot more possible than it did at the beginning of this month.
Trump having to drag the whole damn Republican party across the finish line... GEOTUS is a beast.
Trump having to drag the whole damn Republican party across the finish line... GEOTUS is a beast.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:13 am to ell_13
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:14 am to ell_13
Zero, unfortunately.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:15 am to ell_13
quote:
What are the real chances Repubs take the house
Zero.
The way the districts are drawn make it impossible right now.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:17 am to ell_13
It really depends on how pissed off our good citizens are over the lock-down damages, the riots, arson, looting, assaults and the general lawlessness the dems have brought.
The by-elections suggest a red wave. The enthusiasm suggests a red wave.
The by-elections suggest a red wave. The enthusiasm suggests a red wave.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:18 am to TigerFanatic99
quote:
Zero, unfortunately.
Disagree, but it is good not to get our hopes up.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:19 am to ell_13
You may be surprised at the coat-tails that Trump will bring.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:19 am to ell_13
I began this election cycle believing there was zero chance of the GOP retaking the House. Unfortunately I have not discerned any significant movement towards the GOP candidates that make me alter that prediction.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:20 am to ell_13
I think the GOP loses 10-15 seats. Last night doesn’t help congressional candidates. Money and incumbent advantage favor the Democrats. Paul Ryan guaranteed Democrat dominance for several cycles.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:22 am to ell_13
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:24 am to ell_13
quote:
What are the real chances Repubs take the house?
Very very small.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:28 am to FlyingTiger1955
quote:
I think the GOP loses 10-15 seats.
Doubtful. The GOP has several easy pickup opportunities. It will end up being close to net zero or the GOP will pick up a handful.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:29 am to ROPO
quote:
Seems like a reach
Dems have a 97% Chance of Keeping the House and a Better than 50/50 Shot at Gaining Seats
Yeah, the last place I'm going to trust is 538
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:31 am to ell_13
I don't understand why it's not downright likely that we take the house. All seats are up, right? And Trump won more counties than any GOP President in modern history in 2016, right?
So if we all think that he's going to win more comfortably this time than he did in 2016 aren't we logically selling short the chances of taking back the house?
In California alone I think we can take back like 10 seats.
So if we all think that he's going to win more comfortably this time than he did in 2016 aren't we logically selling short the chances of taking back the house?
In California alone I think we can take back like 10 seats.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 10:32 am to FlyingTiger1955
quote:
I think the GOP loses 10-15 seats
Disagree. I think the House stays basically where it is. There may be a 2-4 seat swing either way though it likely favors Republicans.
Reason being that a lot of Dems will stay home and not bother voting this year. Republicans will be out in droves.
This post was edited on 10/23/20 at 10:33 am
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