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Started By
Message
Was “guilty beyond a reasonable doubt” a bad idea?
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:30 pm
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:30 pm
I’m sure this is frequently discussed in legal circles/law school, but I’m not a lawyer so I wanted to hear some opinions on this.
Nobody wants an innocent person to be imprisoned, but the reality is that innocent people pay the price when crime is out of control. Anybody who has been to NO or BR in the last few years fully understands this. So innocent people are kind of screwed either way IMO.
If the burden of proof in criminal law is lessened , let’s say, to a preponderance of the evidence (or some similar level) less criminals would walk and those criminals serving time would likely serve more time due to more charges sticking . This (in theory at least) takes criminals off the streets, making more innocent people safe from crime. On a population scale this seems like a significant net positive by the sheer volume of people that would be positively affected.
Simultaneously however, an innocent person would be more likely to be imprisoned. This would certainly happen, although it would (IMO) affect a very small number of truly innocent people. And with the way appeals processes work , they would still have a decent chance to hopefully get another day in court and get a better result.
Nobody wants an innocent person to be imprisoned, but the reality is that innocent people pay the price when crime is out of control. Anybody who has been to NO or BR in the last few years fully understands this. So innocent people are kind of screwed either way IMO.
If the burden of proof in criminal law is lessened , let’s say, to a preponderance of the evidence (or some similar level) less criminals would walk and those criminals serving time would likely serve more time due to more charges sticking . This (in theory at least) takes criminals off the streets, making more innocent people safe from crime. On a population scale this seems like a significant net positive by the sheer volume of people that would be positively affected.
Simultaneously however, an innocent person would be more likely to be imprisoned. This would certainly happen, although it would (IMO) affect a very small number of truly innocent people. And with the way appeals processes work , they would still have a decent chance to hopefully get another day in court and get a better result.
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:34 pm to tomcatrav
You want to deprive people of their liberty, just because it is “more likely than not“ that they committed a crime?
My friend, that is some totalitarian stuff.
Before we deprive people of liberty, we need to be damned certain if they actually did something wrong.
My friend, that is some totalitarian stuff.
Before we deprive people of liberty, we need to be damned certain if they actually did something wrong.
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:44 pm to AggieHank86
My point is that many people have been deprived of their LIFE, by people that should have already been deprived of their LIBERTY.
Do you disagree with that statement ?
Do have any sympathy or recourse for them? Or just sympathy for wrongfully imprisoned?
Would you wrongfully imprisone a few people to save a thousand lives and multiple cities/metros?
Do you disagree with that statement ?
Do have any sympathy or recourse for them? Or just sympathy for wrongfully imprisoned?
Would you wrongfully imprisone a few people to save a thousand lives and multiple cities/metros?
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:45 pm to tomcatrav
Nope. Isn’t the conviction rate for serious crimes already above 90%?
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:47 pm to tomcatrav
quote:
but the reality is that innocent people pay the price when crime is out of control.
The government cannot, will not protect you.
Make sure your armed, and your SO has defense skills or firearm skills.
There's nothing between the criminal element and you, accept your ability to defend.
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:47 pm to tomcatrav
With our corrupt Justice system, you want to give the authorities more power to deprive people of freedom
Wow
Wow
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:48 pm to tomcatrav
quote:
Would you wrongfully imprisone a few people to save a thousand lives and multiple cities/metros?
No. You stupid frick. JFC how come some of yall are so stupid?
Please tell us at which institution you received any semblance of an education.
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:49 pm to tomcatrav
quote:
Would you wrongfully imprisone a few people to save a thousand lives and multiple cities/metros?
No
But I'd lengthen the penalty for violent crimes including the death penalty for rape and murder..
Then I would release everyone convicted of a merchant related offenses or tax crimes to make room for them..
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:50 pm to novabill
quote:
With our corrupt Justice system, you want to give the authorities more power to deprive people of freedom
He must have never watched an ID show where the cops interrogate a suspect for 8 hours and never let him go to the bathroom until he confesses, all the while lying about having evidence on him.
This post was edited on 12/3/22 at 1:51 pm
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:51 pm to tomcatrav
This is one of the true protections we enjoy as Americans. If we are putting people in jail and depriving them of their freedoms, it must be based on solid evidence. I know I wholeheartedly want that protection for myself, even though there’s a very slim chance that I’d need it. . Prosecutors are overzealous enough sometimes, and a “50.1” burden would not be the answer to protect us all. There are laws on the books, and they can start by enforcing those to protect society.
This post was edited on 12/3/22 at 1:57 pm
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:52 pm to tomcatrav
Juries can call it 'beyond', even when it isn't.
No sense in making it easier.
Read how the Oathkeepers got railroaded in a Soviet Style show trial.
Oath Keepers Verdict:
A Dangerous Escalation in Criminalizing Dissent
No sense in making it easier.
Read how the Oathkeepers got railroaded in a Soviet Style show trial.
quote:
And witness after witness, including those for the government, admitted the defendants did not plan in advance to “storm” the Capitol. No matter—prosecutors argued that the accused could have entered into the “conspiracy” at any time, including moments before they walked inside the Capitol, and that the agreement didn’t require any specificity or overt consent. “The government also does not have to prove that all members of the conspiracy directly met, or discussed between themselves their unlawful objectives, or agreed to all the details, or agreed to what the means were by which the objectives would be accomplished,” the final jury instructions read. “What the government must prove beyond a reasonable doubt is that two or more persons in some way or manner arrived at some type of agreement, mutual understanding, or meeting of the minds to try to accomplish a common and unlawful objective.”
Jurors did not hear, however, from numerous FBI informants including the group’s vice president, who suffered a medical emergency as he boarded a plane for D.C. to testify. Judge Amit Mehta also refused to allow the jury to hear expert testimony and evidence of “agents provocateurs” located outside the east side of the building near the Oath Keepers yet remain unidentified and uncharged to this day.
Defense witnesses who saw the defendants act as a barrier between unruly protesters and law enforcement, including Capitol Police Officer Harry Dunn who took the stand for the prosecution during the trial, were prevented from testifying.
Oath Keepers Verdict:
A Dangerous Escalation in Criminalizing Dissent
This post was edited on 12/3/22 at 1:55 pm
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:53 pm to tomcatrav
I think that most, if not all things can be reduced to a sigmoidal curve.
If your goal is that X% of guilty people are convicted, then Y% of innocent people that will be convicted. As you approach X = 100, your Y will have to increase exponentially. In other words, if you want to move from 80% conviction of guilty people to 90%, that 10% increase might mean 40% of innocent people have to be convicted. To go from 90% to 95%, the 40% may have to increase to 65%. To go from 95% to 99%, the 65% may have to reach 90%.
This is true with everything in politics, and why liberals are stupid. They force tolerance of 9 bad ideas to get us to tolerate 1 more good one.
If your goal is that X% of guilty people are convicted, then Y% of innocent people that will be convicted. As you approach X = 100, your Y will have to increase exponentially. In other words, if you want to move from 80% conviction of guilty people to 90%, that 10% increase might mean 40% of innocent people have to be convicted. To go from 90% to 95%, the 40% may have to increase to 65%. To go from 95% to 99%, the 65% may have to reach 90%.
This is true with everything in politics, and why liberals are stupid. They force tolerance of 9 bad ideas to get us to tolerate 1 more good one.
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:54 pm to tomcatrav
So you want “ehh good enough” justice?
Anyone serving time for a crime they didn’t commit is a travesty.
Anyone serving time for a crime they didn’t commit is a travesty.
This post was edited on 12/3/22 at 1:55 pm
Posted on 12/3/22 at 1:58 pm to VolcanicTiger
quote:
I think that most, if not all things can be reduced to a sigmoidal curve.
And yet 90% of these responses are pretending that this is a digital issue. As you pointed out, it’s not. Newsflash for the REEEEEEEE!!!!! crowd: if you want a criminal justice system you want an imperfect one, because that’s the only option. The OP was just asking if we’re at the optimal place on the curve.
Posted on 12/3/22 at 2:05 pm to AggieHank86
quote:
Before we deprive people of liberty, we need to be damned certain if they actually did something wrong.
'Damned certain' has no real meaning. The jurors who voted not guilty in the Menendez murder of their parents case said that they were damn certain they were guilty. 'But they're orphans'. So they voted not guilty.
This is not a joke. I heard the female juror say it on TV.
Posted on 12/3/22 at 2:07 pm to Flats
I think it’s just that some concepts are so fundamental and foundational that there really shouldn’t even be much spitballing possible or reasonable on such a subject. This just happens to be one of those fundamental and foundational concepts.
I guess it doesn’t hurt to ask though.
I guess it doesn’t hurt to ask though.
Posted on 12/3/22 at 2:14 pm to tomcatrav
"According to the Chicago Tribune, it is far too easy to convict an innocent person in the United States, and an estimated 2 to 10 percent of all convictions are wrongful. When this percentage is applied to the 2.3 million people who were incarcerated at the time the article was written in 2018, it amounts to between 46,000 and 230,000 innocent people behind bars, a staggering number by any account. Once convicted, there are few resources or mechanisms available for righting this legal wrong; a wrongful conviction suit is one of them."
2020 usclaims website
Biggest issues in wrongful convictions are prosecutorial / law enforcement misconduct, false confessions, inadequate representation. These issues would produce an explosion in the number of wrongful convictions if the burden of proof was lowered.
Preponderance is 51% - that's an abomination. This standard is horribly abused in administrative settings and millions of innocent people have their lives ruined because of it - move that over into criminal law and there would be a revolt in this nation due to the number of innocent people being locked up.
Frankly, I'm stunned by this suggestion.
If the judiciary ever bothered to do its job, this problem would be cut down substantially. When Senator Ted Stevens was wrongfully convicted the judge feigned outrage but did nothing about it. Like nothing at all. It's the same story, over and over again.
2020 usclaims website
Biggest issues in wrongful convictions are prosecutorial / law enforcement misconduct, false confessions, inadequate representation. These issues would produce an explosion in the number of wrongful convictions if the burden of proof was lowered.
Preponderance is 51% - that's an abomination. This standard is horribly abused in administrative settings and millions of innocent people have their lives ruined because of it - move that over into criminal law and there would be a revolt in this nation due to the number of innocent people being locked up.
Frankly, I'm stunned by this suggestion.
If the judiciary ever bothered to do its job, this problem would be cut down substantially. When Senator Ted Stevens was wrongfully convicted the judge feigned outrage but did nothing about it. Like nothing at all. It's the same story, over and over again.
Posted on 12/3/22 at 2:14 pm to tomcatrav
People seem to hate defense lawyers for their "sleeze" but I think there's nothing better than a good defense lawyer that can hand the government their arse on a plate
Posted on 12/3/22 at 2:19 pm to davyjones
quote:
I think it’s just that some concepts are so fundamental and foundational that there really shouldn’t even be much spitballing possible or reasonable on such a subject.
Then people aren’t being honest with themselves. There is no such thing as a perfect system, so if you’re ok with what we have currently then you’re ok with an imperfect system. Nobody wants the innocent to be imprisoned any more than they want people to die in car crashes, but we accept it, because we’re trying for an optimal solution, not a perfect one.
We could make the national speed limit 25 mph and save thousands of lives, but we don’t want the consequences that come with that change. We don’t want criminals roaming the streets so we have flawed people decide whether or not they’re guilty, and we accept the wrong outcomes with the right because we’re not willing to live with the consequences of “no innocent person will ever be convicted”.
Posted on 12/3/22 at 2:21 pm to SECSolomonGrundy
Personal attacks for saying our eminently flawed criminal justice system may have picked a better point on the “burden of proof” curve??
Some of you are truly very simple minded.
As stated above, wherever you put the “X” on the curve there will be unintended consequences on the other side. There is no perfect spot.
If we set the burden at 100% proof positive, no doubt at all, there would be no chance of wrongfully imprisoned person? Would you prefer that? By the tone of many responses here I gather that would be preferable.
Some of you are truly very simple minded.
As stated above, wherever you put the “X” on the curve there will be unintended consequences on the other side. There is no perfect spot.
If we set the burden at 100% proof positive, no doubt at all, there would be no chance of wrongfully imprisoned person? Would you prefer that? By the tone of many responses here I gather that would be preferable.
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