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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 5/18/20 at 10:11 pm to
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 5/18/20 at 10:11 pm to
quote:

Definitely like the sound of that. I’ve been ready for a surprisingly low Tuesday for a while. What are you seeing?
Mass, NY, NJ, and PA, had the same amount of deaths today as last Monday. And since they all appear to be post-peak (especially NY) but can jade the largest impact, then I wouldn’t expect as big of a jump on Tuesday, especially since PA and Mass often have bigger jumps on Wednesday for whatever reason.

And the last 3 weeks, the increase has been between 76 and 78 percent, which is unusually high even by Tuesday’s standards. So while, I think it will still increase, I think maybe it will be more in line with the 50ish percent increase we were used to seeing.

That said, all I takes is one state to dump a bunch of unreported deaths (like NY with those nursing home deaths) so I’m cautiously optimistic with that in mind.
Posted by ValDawgsta
Member since Jan 2020
1542 posts
Posted on 5/18/20 at 10:22 pm to
Makes sense. Appreciate it
Posted by Jrv2damac
Kanorado
Member since Mar 2004
64952 posts
Posted on 5/19/20 at 5:31 pm to
Even this thread is now pretty quiet
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6823 posts
Posted on 5/19/20 at 8:36 pm to
This is the link to the US state-level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/











Posted by Volsfan82169
Spring Hill, TN
Member since Aug 2016
2918 posts
Posted on 5/19/20 at 8:36 pm to
The usual Tuesday spike not so bad today. 2500 fewer new cases than last Tuesday and over 300 fewer deaths.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6823 posts
Posted on 5/19/20 at 8:40 pm to
2.3k fewer new cases today than yesterday and 2.5K down from last Tuesday, an 11% decline. Testing was 399K today with 5.3% positives.

Deaths were up over yesterday but down 17% week over week.

Mortality ticked up slightly today, it has been 5.9x% for two weeks now.

The 7 day rolling averages both turned downward again today.
Posted by BamaPig
Gulf Coast,Alabama
Member since Jan 2020
1314 posts
Posted on 5/19/20 at 8:49 pm to
The curve is heading south


Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
21356 posts
Posted on 5/19/20 at 8:52 pm to
not final numbers tho, right?
Posted by ValDawgsta
Member since Jan 2020
1542 posts
Posted on 5/19/20 at 9:14 pm to
Just one day obviously, but I'm loving the 800 death reduction from two weeks ago (Tuesday, May 5th)

Having the "Tuesday bump" be well below 1600 is so much better than where we were.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6823 posts
Posted on 5/19/20 at 9:32 pm to
Yes they are final, for some reason the header wouldn’t update.
Posted by Tiguar
Montana
Member since Mar 2012
33131 posts
Posted on 5/20/20 at 9:38 am to
just some insight, take a look at the 7 day rolling average for AL

LINK

rolling averages continue to trend up while the country trends down.

as expected, due to the sheer geographical size of the country and large discrepancies in population density, we will see peaks across different areas of the country at different times.

this is most likely why we see this "long tailed curve"
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111495 posts
Posted on 5/20/20 at 10:23 am to
Yeah. Iowa and Illinois are still trending up. Missouri is just bouncing around.

States that aren’t really getting inundated aren’t seeing a bell curve.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89475 posts
Posted on 5/20/20 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

Having the "Tuesday bump" be well below 1600 is so much better than where we were.



The real bumps have been late week - Thursday/Friday, mainly, after the inaugural Tuesday "bump."

Posted by Jrv2damac
Kanorado
Member since Mar 2004
64952 posts
Posted on 5/20/20 at 5:48 pm to
quote:

Missouri is just bouncing around.


Always fricking up
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111495 posts
Posted on 5/20/20 at 8:48 pm to
Enjoy your upvote.

Only 8 states with new deaths over 50. Only 4 in triple digits.

413k tests with only 21k positive, 5.1% positive
Posted by uppermidwestbama
Member since Nov 2014
2097 posts
Posted on 5/20/20 at 9:12 pm to
We are around 17,000 fewer confirmed cases from our peak compared to today. This virus is dying out and in June will should be below 15,000 daily numbers, if not even lower. Deaths will slow since we are well past the peaks.

Being out in the nice sunny, warm summer days would do everyone good since the heat and rays will kill the virus. Stay in your home and the virus will live longer.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6823 posts
Posted on 5/20/20 at 9:15 pm to
This is the link to the US state-level tracker that I have shared via Google Drive. Chromdome's State Level COVID-19 Daily Tracker
This is the link to the COVID-19 Country tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/











Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6823 posts
Posted on 5/20/20 at 9:27 pm to
While new cases came in 1k higher than yesterday, they were down 304 week over week. Tests were 94K higher than last week at 413K and the % positive rate was 1.6% lower.

Deaths were down 19% from last week and 6% down from yesterday.

Mortality remains stationary at 5.9%

I am praying that this downward trend continues as we continue to open up.

on a side note: I've been teaching myself Google Apps Script and am working towards a more automated tracking system that will also make it possible to view the data of every state and compare states to each other and the US overall. I haven't coded professionally in almost 19 years so I'm not only a bit rusty, I'm having to learn a new language in the process of shaking off the dust. So far I've been able to automate the pulling of the data from the COVID Tracking Site using their JSON feed. As soon as I can work through a couple of type conversion issues with the data, I will be able to focus on building the interface which should go pretty fast.

Posted by Jrv2damac
Kanorado
Member since Mar 2004
64952 posts
Posted on 5/20/20 at 9:36 pm to
I wonder how long before we start to get stuck under 1% daily growth.


Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
21356 posts
Posted on 5/20/20 at 9:40 pm to
Great job Chrom! And deaths finally in the 1300s. Gonna go quickly to the 12s!
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