re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Alabama added 198 new cases today, bringing its total to 440. Also had its first coronavirus death today.

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Agreed. That is why is it critical that the most vulnerable to infection and serious effects remain as isolated as possible. Some seemingly uninfected people are carrying the virus.

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Yeah I haven't left my house except to take long walks/runs, which are completely safe and necessary for my mental and physical health. While I'm a seeming specimen of health, I'm high risk due to cancer and probably more so the treatment that put me in remission.

But I am still dumbfounded by the a-bomb response v precision drone bombing. And all based on best-guess models.

As I've alluded to, Learned Hand is rolling in his grave.

Nope


I’m very supportive of Gavin right now

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Just curious, where are you getting these numbers of days/weeks for each of the 5 scenarios?

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I've gleaned that from the reporting and coverage so far. It's probably worth what you paid for it.

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I heard Dr Birx allude to the fact that the older folks get symptoms quickly vs younger

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I think this is going to be true for most serious viral infections like this, youth being a proxy for a stronger immune system and better recuperative capacity.

This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker

The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/

On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Italy Summary
4) UK Summary
5) France Summary
6) Germany Summary
7) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
8) Predictive Model - A simple predictive model that shows where the numbers will be in the future if growth rates don't change

If you would like a graph created that I don't have, just ask and if it's possible I will create it for you.

Due to space constraints on the PT board, I'm only posting a few graphs in the thread, if a consensus emerges of what graphs the PT wants to see in thread without having to go to the tracker, I will gladly change them up.

I am working to create a sheet that compares the US metrics to the other countries metrics. I'll let you all know when that's done and available.

NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.

So the growth rate has declined 4 days in a row? That is good.

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Actually they are not, they just opened up 100 beds today. They are doing those trials and getting patients off the vents and keeping others from getting on them.

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dixierebel posted this in the Oschner thread on the OT. If this is accurate, then that is good news.

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Good news that the meds are working.

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No disrespect here. But a question arises. Is this your opinion, or is it supported by actual evidence? It would be awesome if the unnamed meds are working.

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No disrespect here. But a question arises. Is this your opinion, or is it supported by actual evidence? It would be awesome if the unnamed meds are working.

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Anecdotal evidence. My friend was hospitalized almost a week ago with worsening symptoms and they were anticipating intubating him. A week later, they’re discussing discharge. They started him on hydroxychloroquine and Zpack within 24 hours of admission.