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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 3/26/20 at 10:11 am to the808bass
Posted on 3/26/20 at 10:11 am to the808bass
So glad that your friend is better. Perhaps I'm being Pollyanna, but this raises my level of hopefulness.
HOw are things in your area? I'm reading that my parish has it's first positive BUT until it's confirmed by someone official, I'm taking it with a grain of salt.
eta: woops. Just confirmed. One case in Vermilion Parish, very south Louisiana, about 120 miles or so from NOLA.
HOw are things in your area? I'm reading that my parish has it's first positive BUT until it's confirmed by someone official, I'm taking it with a grain of salt.
eta: woops. Just confirmed. One case in Vermilion Parish, very south Louisiana, about 120 miles or so from NOLA.
This post was edited on 3/26/20 at 10:13 am
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Posted on 3/26/20 at 10:12 am to the808bass
That is great news for your friend. Chalk one up for the Hydro/zpack combo.
Posted on 3/26/20 at 10:22 am to Chromdome35
My friend’s friend is vented and on dialysis. His son was told to expect his father to pass in the night over a week ago. They started him on the combo therapy. He is not out of the woods and not off the vent, but there are some signs of progress.
Posted on 3/26/20 at 10:29 am to the808bass
So you have a friend affected AND a friend who's parent is?
Posted on 3/26/20 at 10:42 am to the808bass
quote:
Anecdotal evidence. My friend was hospitalized almost a week ago with worsening symptoms and they were anticipating intubating him. A week later, they’re discussing discharge. They started him on hydroxychloroquine and Zpack within 24 hours of admission.
Anecdotal evidence.
Man uses muddy water instead of clean water to put out a fire at his house.
Fire departments approve comapssionate use of muddy water to put out fires. Individual firemen must apply for a permit to do so.
NFPA will conduct a double blind study. Results will be published by 2022.
Posted on 3/26/20 at 10:46 am to tiger91
quote:
So you have a friend affected AND a friend who's parent is?
No. My friend’s friend is also infected. They’re coworkers and were exposed at a meeting with international associates.
Posted on 3/26/20 at 10:50 am to the808bass
quote:
He is not out of the woods and not off the vent, but there are some signs of progress.
I hate to be the voice of cautious optimism, but that's where I am with this. Unlike something like cancer, the longer you can hold out and fight this during an acute period, the better chance. Fingers crossed he's "over the hump", so to speak.
Posted on 3/26/20 at 10:51 am to reverendotis
quote:
Man uses muddy water instead of clean water to put out a fire at his house.
a more apt comparison would be man uses muddy water to put out fire instead of throwing dirt around house and watching it burn
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:01 am to Chromdome35
The COVID Tracking Project website (Where the test numbers come from) numbers are really bouncing around. The number of tests from yesterday have fallen to 68.4K
This post was edited on 3/26/20 at 11:02 am
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:06 am to Chromdome35
NY just updated their numbers
+4,292 cases so far today
+19 deaths so far today
It looks to me like there might be two reporting periods during the day. A lot of US results start coming in around noon EST. Then the results seem to update again in the late evening.
+4,292 cases so far today
+19 deaths so far today
It looks to me like there might be two reporting periods during the day. A lot of US results start coming in around noon EST. Then the results seem to update again in the late evening.
This post was edited on 3/26/20 at 11:11 am
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:19 am to Chromdome35
Good chance we pass Italy for total number of cases today, and slight chance we pass China too. If not it will happen tomorrow.
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:20 am to TigerFanatic99
Yea, I was just looking at it, we're currently ahead of Italy, but they haven't reported any numbers yet.
Looks like everyone but Italy and France have updated numbers for the day.
Looks like everyone but Italy and France have updated numbers for the day.
This post was edited on 3/26/20 at 11:22 am
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:21 am to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have shared on Google Drive. Chromdome's COVID-19 Daily Tracker
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Italy Summary
4) UK Summary
5) France Summary
6) Germany Summary
7) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
8) Predictive Model - A simple predictive model that shows where the numbers will be in the future if growth rates don't change
If you would like a graph created that I don't have, just ask and if it's possible I will create it for you.
Due to space constraints on the PT board, I'm only posting a few graphs in the thread, if a consensus emerges of what graphs the PT wants to see in thread without having to go to the tracker, I will gladly change them up.
I am working to create a sheet that compares the US metrics to the other countries metrics. I'll let you all know when that's done and available.
NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.
The source for the data is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
The source for the testing data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
On the tracker sheet you will see tabs for the following data:
1) US Summary
2) Country Comparables: This shows you how the US stacks up vs. select other countries dealing with COVID-19
3) Italy Summary
4) UK Summary
5) France Summary
6) Germany Summary
7) US Weighted Averages - Explores 7 day vs 3 day weight average trends
8) Predictive Model - A simple predictive model that shows where the numbers will be in the future if growth rates don't change
If you would like a graph created that I don't have, just ask and if it's possible I will create it for you.
Due to space constraints on the PT board, I'm only posting a few graphs in the thread, if a consensus emerges of what graphs the PT wants to see in thread without having to go to the tracker, I will gladly change them up.
I am working to create a sheet that compares the US metrics to the other countries metrics. I'll let you all know when that's done and available.
NOTE: The daily growth rate data will not be accurate until the end of the day's postings. It will change throughout the day.
NOTE: I am not tracking individual states, I don't have a reliable consistent source for that data.
NOTE: I am not a mathematician, statistics guru, scientist, sharpest tack in the box, I'm just a guy who likes to understand for myself what is happening and to share it with others. This thread was not created to debate if you should or shouldn't take this seriously, it is simply to present the numbers and foster conversation.
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:48 am to Chromdome35
Do you think the spike in deaths is related to post-mortem testing, a dump of reports, or an actual uptick in deaths?
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:51 am to Damone
Damone, I don't think we'll know that until we have enough time to watch the trends...that will tell us if its an outlier caused by the things you mentioned or not.
Posted on 3/26/20 at 11:52 am to Damone
quote:It takes more than a week on average to die of cv19.
Do you think the spike in deaths is related to post-mortem testing, a dump of reports, or an actual uptick in deaths?
Posted on 3/26/20 at 12:02 pm to nerd guy
quote:Ugh. I can't believe that my guess just yesterday morning was 75ktotal cases. Tells that I was thinking with my heart and not my head.
What do you guys think are most inflections between 20 and 25 days?
We are already at my guess with 3.5 days left
Posted on 3/26/20 at 12:10 pm to Damone
quote:
Do you think the spike in deaths is related to post-mortem testing, a dump of reports, or an actual uptick in deaths?
I think it’s an actual uptick. Some of it may be delayed post mortem , but not many. I also expect to see the peak deaths delayed approximately 1 week after we peak on new cases.
This post was edited on 3/26/20 at 12:22 pm
Posted on 3/26/20 at 12:19 pm to Chromdome35
I added a new tab to the sheet that shows the comparative progression of total cases and deaths by country on the same graph. This is somewhat like what London's Financial Times is putting out.
This post was edited on 3/26/20 at 12:43 pm
Posted on 3/26/20 at 12:22 pm to Chromdome35
Was listening to a podcast on monday with somebody from CDC that they felt if they were still below 100000 cases by friday they felt like they were in a good place whatever that means
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